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Shadow1980 said:

I doubt it. I think the XBO will be roughly flat YoY through the first half of next year (so, about 1200-1300k for the six-month period in the U.S.), but I think that at E3 or sometime in Q3 they will announce and release an XBO Slim that will retail for $300. At that point I suspect the XBO's sales will experience a boost, similar to how the 360 finally hit its stride when the 360S was released. Here's what I think we might see in the next few years assuming the NX does not effect PS4 & XBO sales in any way and the PS5 and Xbox 4 are released in 2019:

Of course, it's likely that my predictions past 2016 are going to be way off, and I may be overly conservative with my projections. For all I know the PS4 could do much better at $300 than it does at $350.

I think your predictions for 2016 are too optimistic. Sony has a boatload of exclusives and will probably introduce a permanent price-cut and possibly a PS4 slim too.

After the reception of Halo, Gears and scalebound aren't going to do much. Not to mention Xbone has already been selling for pretty cheap.