Soleron on 02 May 2015
| Leadified said:
Have a feeling Labour will barely edge out popular vote, but that doesn't say too much about seats. But that's just my guess, realistically it could go both ways. |
Those kind of vote percentages would probably produce a Labour majority government. They'd be very happy with that.
My feeling is that there will be a swing back to the current Government very late on (for reasons of inertia), so something like
Conservative: 35%
Labour: 33%
Liberal Democrat: 10%
UKIP: 10%
Green: 3%
Producing a very weak Labour/SNP/Liberal Democrat/Green/PC arrangement after a lot of fighting. I think there's a good chance of a second election this year.
