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Im thinking..... something like:

PS4 ~16-17+ million
XB1 ~8-10 million

Depends on how big a effect the Halo series will have, and how much the PS4 is price cut.

Japan & china could be a small boost for ps4 this year, compaired to last.

 

"Well I'm expecting PS4 to drop to $349 in August/September but if Sony choose $299 then I will go with over 17m instead 15m."

 

My thinking too... if it hits 299$ its over 17million.

If its 349$ its probably only just barely over 16m.