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MTZehvor said:

Religion doesn't "obscure" adults' ability to distinguish between what's hard to believe and what isn't; I think anyone who believes in the Bible or some other religious book would tell you that it requires a great deal of faith to believe in what's written there. They believe in them knowing full well how improbable it seems, which is the exact opposite of this study. The study is arguing that kids' ability to distinguish probability is being affected, and my point is that by adulthood that effect is gone.


So, what you're essentially saying is that there are billions of people all over the world believing that they will win the lottery, despite knowing how unlikely that is to happen.

 

That, if anything, strongly suggests that their ability to distinguish probability is skewed.