| TheSource said: It's looking like PS4 will be about 1m below where Wii & PS2 were after two US holidays, 15 months for PS2, 14 months for Wii & PS4. Xbox 1 is selling pretty horribly actually, it's just obscured by the fact that Wii U is selling even worse somehow. X1 is probably going to end up at 2.2-2.8m or something for the year, vs. maybe 1.5-1.7m for Wii U. For 30 weeks we have average weekly sales of: PS4 - 59,000 X1 - 41,000 WIi U - 18,000 50,000 / week in Jan - Oct implies 3.5m in a year - a solid - but not strong year. PS4 should probably get to 4.1m or so based on that (vs. 6m for Wii / PS2 in their first full year). I'm expecting them all to go up again next year, with PS4 peaking in 2016, and then Wii U / X1 declining after 2015 (i.e. PS4 will be up in 2016, Wii U / X1 will be down). It's looking like a fairly mundane generation overall - PS4 will probably get to slightly better figures in the US than PS3, but without a strong Xbox and more expensive game development, it should be harder for games to be made for it as long as they were for PS3 / X360, so I think PS4 gets to 29m or something (vs. 26-27m for PS3) in a shorter timeframe, with X1 getting to 16m or so, and Wii U maybe getting to 10-11m (it's going to be replaced in 2017 - I'd say 2016, but 3DS will be need to be replaced first - Wii U is at least growing - 3DS is shrinking) |
PS4 is sure to sell a lot more than that.
