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I would say that 9million is a certain - though for 10? Random guess : 93% chance - depending on the effect of Amiibo's and how much Hyrule Warriors sells.

 

Edit: Actually seeing your brakedown with those quite low boosts Sept/Oct (and not exactaly mentioning JPN releases this month and B1/2 a month earlier), I really think this is my prediction:

 

 

10.4 Million!!!! =D For comparsion, I think PS4: 15.8m and X1: 8.0m