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bevochan said:

After Destiny is released and thru the holidays, I think PS4 will have about a 2-to-1 advantage for NPD hardware sales.  Also, with imminent releases of various 3rd party games that are superior on the PS4, the momentum of the PS4 hardware sales advantage will be carried for a long time.

I'm assuming Halo 5 will be release for holiday 2015 (Oct/Nov).  If Uncharted 4 is released within a month from Halo 5, Xbox1 definitely will not win NPD.  Even without Uncharted 4, I think it'll be close, but holiday releases are crowded with too many games and Halo 5 won't be enough to win NPD.  

 


This is a fair prediction.  However I am not a gambling man so it is still too far away for me to say for sure.  If MS gets desperate enough, and I believe the likely will be; they could release Halo 5 bundled with a $300 Xbox One.  

Now I think UC4 will still allow the PS4 to win, but it will probably be close.  Then again TLOU is well on its way to outselling most if not all the Halo's, so don't underestimate the momentum of hype ND has at this point...