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starcraft said:

I should clarify that I dont think the word guessing is vitriol.  People display vitriol towards the site *for* allegedly guessing.

Also, there are no offical sales numbers through to consumers. NPD uses the same methodology as VGC, they just do so on a much larger sample size.  As such by definition there is nothing for VGC to be 'off.'  The only official numbers are shipped, which we receive quartely.  

To your last point, I agree.  But I am sure some degree of retooling is ongoing.

Yes, I guess I misread the vitriol part. I also put official in quotation marks just because of that fact you stated. Though, by the manner in which companies use and interpret NPD numbers, they are by far the best numbers in existence.

Surely, had NPD reported sales at a level higher than the shipment figures (as happened recently to 3DS here) the companies would not be as inclined to trust that data. Or undertracked significantly as X360 recently proved to be.