Incubi said:
You say 3DS has looks like it has peaked? We dont know that just yet. It can still be up YOY. To quote me from a post i made in another thread some time ago. "Looking at 3DS sales on VGC you can observe as follows: Calendar year: 2011: 13 250 062 Calendar year: 2012: 14 406 901 Calendar year: 2013 so far: 11 900 000 Trends: Week ending dec 08. 2012: 750 199 I Sales according to VGC: 07. 2013: 666 121 Week ending dec 15. 2012: 1 025 218 I Forecasted sales 14. 2013: 900 000 I Sales according to VGC: 899 915 Week ending dec 22. 2012: 1 241 211 I Forecasted sales 21. 2013: 1 100 000 I Sales according to VGC: 1 078 565 Week ending dec 29. 2012: 725 008 I Forecasted sales 28. 2013: 650 000 So, an estimated sales this calendar year is: 14 550 000"
Update: Calendar year: 2011: 13 250 062 Calendar year: 2012: 14 406 901 Calendar year: 2013 so far: 13 900 000 Trends: Week ending dec 08. 2012: 750 199 I Sales according to VGC: 07. 2013: 692 779 (adjusted up by VGC) Week ending dec 15. 2012: 1 025 218 I Forecasted sales 14. 2013: 900 000 I Sales according to VGC: 899 915 Week ending dec 22. 2012: 1 241 211 I Forecasted sales 21. 2013: 1 100 000 I Sales according to VGC: 1 078 565 Week ending dec 29. 2012: 725 008 I Forecasted sales 28. 2013: 650 000 I Sales according to VGC: ?
It needs to sell more than 550 000 week ending dec 29. 2013. If it sells less than that it will have peaked in 2012. If it sells more, you really cant say that it has peaked on a worldwide basis. I wont compare 3DS to DS as that is an unfair comparison, but will instead compare it to GBA. With GBA you can observe how it peaked not the year Pokemon was released, but the following year. So yes, it will have its peak but i'm pretty sure that peak will be in 2014 on a worldwide basis. |
And that is the problemt using VGC figures, they're estimates, (which are overtracked). It'll fall short in terms of shipments by 1.5m+.
