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theprof00 on 18 October 2013
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Normando said:
theprof00 said:
I agree with Kowen, there was no need for an adjustment to 360 aside from simply where the sold consoles were. 1.5m on shelves would mean that they've specifically ordered quite a lot for their own stores. Maybe they're inticipating a lot of demand after Don's infamous quote. :D


unlikely. There are only about 65 MS stores so even if they each got a ton of 360s it would only account for a small number of the retail stock. As I said in my earlier post odds are you have about 1.5m worldwide thanks to stores like Walmart, Gamestop, Target, and Bestbuy. Worldwide you have a huge number of these stores that need stock.

11,000 Walmarts

6,600 Gamestops

2,900 Best buys

1,800 Targets

It's also important to remember than retail stock doesn't mean on store shelves. Retail stock also includes retail store backrooms, distribution centers, online retailer warehouses.

Meh, 1.5m is still really too big...especially for October. The comment about MS own stores was just a joke. Even with online distribution (not including their own stores or Best Buy kiosks) they could only possibly hold 100k, and that's with an anticipated price drop which is very unlikely until holidays (still too early).

Even all those stores, if they had 100 consoles each, it would only be a million. Seems like far too much doesn't it?

My guess is each one has ~10 with enough distribution supply for 1-2 complete turnovers, which equals about 300k +50k or so for wholeseller stores like costco/BJs.

If I had to guess, assuming they pushed out more consoles early (in order to focus on xb1 production), with enough supply for ~25 per store world wide, and 80m as of October 17th, I would say numbers are in the area of .4-.6m undertracked, and roughly 900k to 1m in retail channels.