You don't think it will drop 100-200$ in the next 3-5 years? I kind of actually want one, but part of me just doesn't value that price point it's at. I want it for split-screen fun with my younger cousins so I need 4 Wii controllers/pro controllers=150+dollars and comes out to like 500$(Tax included in the end).
Well, your first condition is impossible because those games are first / second party, and they require far more power. Your second condition would mean that Nintendo would rather discontinue the thing because their balance sheets would be bleeding red.
So no, you're never buying one :)