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M$ played it right by going one year earlier, it(and a bunch of $$$) allowed 3rd party support. But under your scenario, the gaming community might have been a lot different. To me, the decline of console gaming in general might have been more dramatic than it is now. The big benefit of having the 360 and the wii be so successful, it pushed gaming into the casual arena much more clearly. If that hadn't happened, the current trend towards tablets and smartphones would have overwhelmed any support for consoles in short order. For this coming generation, they will atleast enjoy support for 3-5 years from the publishers.