| UncleScrooge said: And how is the Wii U selling right now? I'm not talking about the launch sales. I'm talking full years on the market. Gamecube in 2001 (when it was released everywhere but Europe) did over 2m units (it did more than 1m in Japan alone). So its launch "year" was comparable to the Wii U. In 2002 and 2003 the Gamecube did roughly 5m units a year. That's what I'm talking about. Do you think the Wii U will keep up that holiday sales pace and double its LTD sales in the next 2 months? You can't just use holiday / launch sales and take that as the sales pace of a console. The Vita sold 300k units in its first week in Japan - should we just extrapolate that number to predict its yearly sales? The PS3 did 600k units in Europe first week - how did that develop? The Wii U is currently (!) on pace to do 150k units a month according to VGChartz. That's definitely not above Gamecube level. |
I didn't say that the Wii U would sell another 2.5 million in the next two months. I said that you can't say "it's below the Gamecube, which sold 5 million a year for the first few years" because it's done half of that in its first two months - it's not unreasonable to expect it to manage the same amount in the remaining 10 months. The Wii U is currently selling 39k per week (what is it with you guys and lowballing every single number, when we have EXACT numbers available?). If it were to stay this low (very unlikely - every console has a slow period in the first few months after launch), it would have 43 weeks left at 39k per week, or 1.7 million. But of course, the year includes the early holiday period, which typically kicks in in October. And in the meantime, there's going to be bumps from Lego City Undercover, Rayman Legends, Wii Fit U, Game & Wario, The Wonderful 101, probably Wind Waker HD (assuming they're keeping Mario 3D for November, Wind Waker HD will probably be September), Pikmin 3, probably Bayonetta 2, Wii Party U, and possibly even Mario Kart U (assuming that Wind Waker is September and Mario 3D is November, Mario Kart U may be October), Monster Hunter Tri Ultimate, and Dragon Quest X in Japan (and possibly elsewhere), all of which are exclusives or effectively exclusives. Is there any doubt that these games are going to spur sales? And of course, that's not going to be the entire lineup for the Wii U for the next 10 months.
It's easy to judge a system based on a single week. It's funny how fickle people on here really are. There really is no reason to expect that the rate of sales in one week in January, the ONLY week so far to be below 50k, will be above the average for the remainder of the year. And what's worse, you and everyone else who goes "Wii U will only sell like 30k a week from now on" know this, too. You're just being intentionally obtuse, and it's childish.
