By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

When I made my initial prediction last week of 475,000 units I was assuming that Nintendo would ship 500,000 on launch day, see a virtual sell out, and they wouldn't send another shipment last week ...

At this point in time I think it is fairly safe to assume that Nintendo had multiple moderately large shipments last week making it difficult to judge how many they sold. If the initial shipment was under 350,000 units I think many retailers would have had difficulty meeting pre-orders, and if the initial shipment was over 700,000 units I think there would have been a significant amount of units on store shelves on Monday; neither of these happened so I think the initial shipment was somewhere between 350,000 and 700,000 units. With Black Friday I suspect Nintendo would face a similar situation being that even systems that sell poorly often break 350,000 units on the Thanksgiving week, and I suspect that a shipment much larger than 700,000 units might not have sold out given the launch earlier in the week.

This puts my likely range at 700,000 to 1,400,000 units and I personally would expect 900,000 to 1,100,000 units sold ...

Of course, I could be horribly wrong