What will happen first? Ninty providing a good chunk of classic goodies on GamePad, or it will be eventually hacked and I can get them through 3rd party emulation anyway? VC is a big factor for me.
Likely Nintendo. Unliek the Wii and DS, Nintendo seems to have really ramped up their security. The 3DS has yet to be hacked and it's been out over a year and half. Wii functionality is sandboxed anyway so that adds a whole new level of security on top of it all.
The rEVOLution is not being televised