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I updated the opening post. These are the sales from week 6-10 for each year.

  2005 - DS 2006 - DS 2007 - DS 2008 - DS 2009 - DS 2010 - DS 2011 - DS 2012 - 3DS
Amount sold in weeks 6-10 782,000 999,000 2,290,000 1,934,000 1,603,000 1,657,000 1,065,000 1,021,000

 

It's not looking very good for the 3DS. It's selling less than the DS did in the same period in 2011 (its 7th year!), and barely matching the DS' 2006 sales. Remember that those DS sales are DS phat sales, as the lite didn't launch until June 2006 in the west.  It's also selling less than half of what the DS did in 2007.

20 million for the year, which seemed the most likely 5 weeks ago, looks quite optimistic now. I figure a 16 million or so is more likely.