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kowenicki said:
Reasonable said:
I guess this will be more relevant next week but it seems Nintendo has had at least a decent BF spike.

http://www.vg247.com/2011/11/28/nintendo-reveals-black-friday-sales-wii-moves-over-500000-units/#comments

I expect 360 to be above this and PS3 to be close to this but I guess the Wii can still shift HW/SW in decent numbers. Sounds like 3DS did very well too. I expect by the end of the holidays the early talk of "doomed" is going to start looking a little exaggerated.


You expect PS3 to get close to 500k for Black Friday alone and for it to get close to a 600k week in the USA.  I dont see PS3 sales increasing 90 - 100% on last year (last year PS3 also had GT5 in its 1st week).

I'm also not sure how much room there is for massive numbers across the board. 

Last year total sales for the 3 in the USA for the week were 1.45m

I'm assuming 600k for Wii, 750k for 360...

I think PS3 will be behind Wii around 450 K mark.  Unless I've misread recent charts PS3 is up YOY in US, no doubt due to price cut, and the early anecdotal evidence seems to be PS3 bundles sold well for BF, so I think it has a chance to be up YOY.  Of course this could be invalidated looking at it top down - i.e. total demand should be around X and 360/Wii have taken Y leaving PS3 only Z.

Very curious to see how it pans out.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...