| Oyvoyvoyv said: 2007 Wii 16,758 - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=Wii®%5B%5D=Total&start=39089&end=39453 2007 X360 - 8,372 - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=PS3®%5B%5D=Total&start=39089&end=39453 2007 Ps3 - 7,730 - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=PS3®%5B%5D=Total&start=39089&end=39453 7,730 + 8,372 = 16,057 16,758 - 16,057 = 0,701. Wii sold 0,701 million, or 700k more than the others last year. The X360 had already sold 8,1M - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=X360®%5B%5D=Total&start=38067&end=39089 The ps3 1,37 - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=PS3®%5B%5D=Total&start=38067&end=39089 The Wii had sold 3,26 - http://vgchartz.com/hwtable.php?cons%5B%5D=Wii®%5B%5D=Total&start=38067&end=39089 8,1 + 1,37 = 9,47 9,47 - 3,26 = 6,21. X360 + Ps3 already had a 6,21M lead. After this year, it is 6,21 - 0,7 = 5,21. By this rate, it will take 7 and a half year for the Wii to achieve 50 % market share. |
Nice calculations, but they're completely useless because the rate of Wii production is 2x of which it was last year in January. Nintendo will sell a *lot* more systems this year than last. Microsoft will probably beat the 7.5 million they've been selling every year, but not by much as their sales have been getting progressively worse in UK/Eu. And as the PS3 gains momentum, it may cost the 360 sales.
What we know about the PS3 is that it will definitely outsell the 360 this year and it will definitely outperform itself from 2007. I believe it will manage 10-11 million sales, leaving the 360 to cover the gap with the Wii. And the 360 won't do it.
This is going to be the greatest crow eating thread ever. There are a lot of people in here saying, "yeah, it's possible for the Wii to reach 50% sometime in 2008" and there are even more people saying, "no way, it's impossible."
I'm excited to watch the percentage tick up every month. We're hoping for 44.3% by the end of January.
