Final-Fan said:
(Wikipedia sez 600,000 hours MTBF for average quality SATA HDD, which would be 2.5% in a year if they were all running 24/7. So I would be surprised at more than 0.5% HDD failure rate to date in PS3s.) |
Hard drives have gone down in reliability over the past decade because drive manufacturers are having to get more aggressive in the designs to keep increasing the storage densities. In the 70's and 80's read/write heads rode on a cushion of air just above the disk. Then in the 90's drive manufacturers needed to get the heads even closer to the media so they put ripples in the disk surface and allowed the ultra-light-weight heads to "skim" along the disk as they rode up and down in a sine-wave pattern (you can't allow the heads to touch the surface of the disk if both are really flat because both surfaces are now so finely made they're too "smooth", and "stiction" will cause the two surfaces to bond to each other. The thickness of platters and heads are being pushed to new lows, requiring different materials to be used such as glass just to prevent wobble or surface deformation in the platters. And they're also pushing the rotational speeds up.
So... hard drives are becoming much less expensive per byte, but more fragile in general. It's the nature of the beast.
What would the failure rate of the PS3 hard drives be? Who knows. It depends on the hard drive Sony uses and how the hard drive is used. The company I work for supports 5000+ enterprise desktops, and on more than one occasion we've had to just go through and replace large lots of hard drives because that particular model from that particular manufacturer is experiencing large numbers of failures. We also see a lot of hard drives die prematurely due to too much "thrashing" depending on usage patterns, i.e. - the read-write heads are forced to constantly seek back and forth across the disk at high speeds. Sony seems to have put high-quality components in the PS3, but I doubt they'll perform better than other high-quality components in the industry.