waron said:
let's start with the fact that we can't list Prologue as example of future GT5 sales - it was the first racing game on ps3 except crappy F1 game, Ridge Racer(and those are very niche titles plus ps3 launch games) and very average Motorstorm, - it was budget game, - it had no competition for what 4-5 months before release and something like 4-6 months after launch, now - past GT games success was because casual gamers, - there wasn't any awareness of competition(especially during psx life and early ps2 era), - you could pretty much get either NFS, Ridge Racer or GT game in the past, - ps3 doesn't have diversity if we're talking about audience(it's all about shooters and action games now), - with exception of first Motorstorm(which sales come mostly from bundles and sequel flopped hard compared to original), last 3 NFS games, Midnight Club, Burnout Paradise and Grid nothing really sold well on ps3 if we're talking about racing title, - most racing sim fans already chose their console and series to follow - that's Forza, just look at the sales of Forza 1 and 2 on simillar userbase. Forza 1 sold 1mln copies, Forza 2 sold 4mln copies, Forza 3 sold 2.3mln copies in first 24 weeks - more than 80% better than Forza 2 in first 24 weeks. - there's too much competition and people gone away from games like GT to open world and arcade racers, - people are tired of waiting and already bought 360 because of Forza series or other racing games, - demo gave really bad impression of full version GT5 and Prologue showed that Polyphony is far behind developers like Turn10, - there will be released 5-6 high profile racing games before GT5(if it comes this year of course), |
Instead of finding counterarguments to the aforementioned points, I will simply say why I think it will top that.
-It's the first FULL Gran Turismo game on the ps3.
-It will be marketed like Crazy since it's Sony's Biggest franchise.
-It will be bundled like crazy for the same reason.
-(If) it is released in Fall.
Those are enough reasons why it will sell more than your expectations..
