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One, the 360 has done really well for MS, and has been a big jump from Xbox and they are profitable now (not overall yet I suspect but no doubt looking good on overall expectations) so it's been a very good success and will continue to be so

Two, a console with lower specs has been happily dominating both the 360 and the PS3 and not only has sold more HW and can sell more SW but took the lead despite 360 having a one year lead and PS3 having arguably the strongest brand globally and largest potential fanbase

Three, the 360 is down a little YOY and is the oldest of the current gen consoles, and should therefore be the first to cross its peak and start to tail of while the others continue to grow.

Four, Natal does look interesting, but it's risky, and launching when the console is essentially the least popular outside the US and only second most popular in the US plus already well into it's lifetime. It could be a big hit but right now looks far from a sure thing, particularly given it seems more aligned to the Wii audience than the current 360 audience

I therefore call caution on the idea of some abrupt 360 domination, sure in the knowledge any sensible 360 owner (such as slowmo above) will be likewise cautious about such hype.

Better to under promise and overachieve than over promise and under deliver - just ask Sony.

And this smells of an attempt to over promise to me.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...