I think The Conduit may be accessible enough to the mass market (and small core Wii base) to do quite well. Thanks to it's T rating. Let's face it, a lot of parents get Wiis for the kids or (kids for their parents) and eventually they'll want a FPS and since CoD is M, that only - note ONLY - leaves the Conduit. It could easily survive off the preteen set for years.
In addition there's still a group like myself that are PC FPS fans and have never migrated to console FPS because of the inferior controls. I know myself and a couple of my peers will be getting The Conduit because it's the first real, fully fleshed out FPS on consoles with controls that mirror the mouse controls we grew up with in precision.
However I have grave fears for the success of the Grinder and Glaldiator because of the intense violence and M rating they'll likely suffer the same fate as HoTD:O and Madworld.
A Mario Paintball FPS would sell millions though.
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