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The PS3 isn't going to fail, at least not in Europe and Japan. For the first one I put my money on that they will have outsold the Xbox 360 in numbers before march and in Japan they just need a strong line-up.

As for Final Fantasy XIII exclusivity:

Put in mind that Sony owns 10 percent of Square-enix and that they have a voice inside the company, and it's likely that the game couldn''t be done on the Xbox 360.

And you don't need to pay money for PSN, and it's actually better than Xbox Live.