By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

I expect the next XBox will be released in 2010 or 2011 and the PS4 (and Nintendo's next system) will be released one year after that; and we're probably looking at a 2010 or 2011 release for Nintendo's next handheld, and the PSP2 (if there is one). What this means is the massive number of consoles on the market and the excitement about "Next Generation" systems will hurt the sales of all consoles; and (typically) the non-dominant consoles will be disproportionately hurt.

With this in mind, Sony (pretty much) has to start outselling the XBox 360 by 2 to 2.5 Million units per year in order to end up in a tied position by the end of the generation ... Which is possible, but unlikely given their performance over the past few years.