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Fumanchu on 02 January 2009
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MikeB said:

 anticipate around 10 million sales per year on average, until the release of a "PSThree", then I expect the PS3 to sell around 15 million on average.

So 2007 + 2008, about 20 million, I anticipate a slimline PS3 to launch somewhere in 2009. By the end of 2012 about 80 million sales. I do expect the PS3 to stay commercially available for much longer though, so by the end of 2016 about 140 million (triple the amount of 360s I anticipate for the long run).

Of course there are endless yet unknown factors. But I certainly expect the PS3 to go well beyond 100 million for the long run.

I can't believe you actually believe this...I'm not going to actually laugh this off, because I'm not pretending to have cosmic clairvoyant powers nor do I have access to a crystal ball but your post sounds like the 'miss cleo' of psychic predictions. 

You think that the 360 will cap lifetime sales at 46.67 million and the PS3 to pretty much sell 100 million more?? This year (so far) it's sold about 10.6 million, so what you're saying is that it'll only be commercially available for another 2 more years or that sales will drop significantly...and your reasoning to support this is some as of yet untapped hidden power of the PS3 and HDTV adoption rates?

If Blu-ray ends up being such a massive drawcard why, oh why would Microsoft just sit there idle, dormant...no extraction of digit and let their sales be eclipsed by such a massive margin without adding Blu-ray to the 360? I've said this before as well, the Xbox had higher gains over the PS2 last gen than PS3 over 360 - if the technical specifications/graphical gains weren't enough for people to pick it over the PS2 in droves then what makes you think they will now for the PS3?