Is this game over for Sony?

[Diomedes1976]

Some remarks Handheld trends not neccesarily imply console trends .The Game Boy smashed the Lynx and the Game Gear adn the Super Nes was a hit but didnt do the same thing with the Genesis/Megadrive ,the Game Boy Colour smashed the rivals but the N64 ended up way behind the PS1 and the GBA reedited the GB success but that didnt mean the Cube doing better than being 3 out of 3 (or 4 if you count the Dreamcast ) .The DS is simply reediting the GBA success :it is selling more than the GBA in Japan ,slighty more in Europe and definitely less in NA .The Wii may triumph or not but not depending on what the DS does ...in fact for some people the DS may calm their Nintendo needs and wont buy the Wii .Everything on this subjet will be seen in some 5 months once the selling patterns are easily perceivable .Even if it ended up first overall it would be in a market of its own (partygames ,motion sensing sports simulations ,funny games ) and there would be another console next to it for the high graphics and traditional games and the hardcore gamer markets .Even if the PS3 follows the same path as the PSP that would mean some 21 million in one year and a half ....way outdoing the X360 .In any case ,everything remains to be seen . The Ps3 sales arent spectacular but are hardly bad .1 million in the US right now with the strong hardware shortages at launch is a good number ,and 600 000 in Japan may be not what we would call a smash hit but 9 weeks after its release they are comparable to the PSP ,inferior to the DS ,Wii and PS2 and way superior to the N64,Saturn ,Game Cube ,Playstation 1( 330 000 sold 9 weeks after release ) ,Dreamcast( 499500 and it was considered a good start ) ,Xbox ,X360 and all the others .Suggesting it will do 6-7 milllion in its lifetime when the PSP is right now at 5 million ( not even its midlife and being its worst market due to the japanese DS onslaught ).....well it doestn have much sense .Even flopping it will reach 10 million there . The "PS3 can be seen in stores so it is flopping " argument is weak to say the least .If Sony is providing as it says 100K consoles per week and there was 200K from the days 31 dec and 2 january still unsold then expecting it to be sold out everywhere would mean monstruous sales for January (around 600K in a otherwise weak month ) .Some of you just assume that if the console is in the stores and doesnt sell more is because no one more wants the console and it has fullfilled its demand ....after that logic it shouldnt sell one more unit .After that logic once the X360 was in the stores in april that would have meant everyone that wanted one had managed one and shouldnt have bought any console in the following months .It isnt that way ,as it is clear ,and this kind of thinking is a bit absurd as I hope to have demostrated with my examples .Even with the PS3 in the stores ,it is sold out in more than half the stores and the remaining have very few units .We must expect the data from NPD for January in some 20 days to see whats happening ...maybe it is selling poorly as you want to suggest or maybe Sony is putting them out there at a good rate and the sales being very strong just cant make it sold out everywhere .The fact that it is still sold at more than retail price in Amazon and sometimes in Ebay shows some sign that the availibity isnt as wide as some would suggest . Forums where fanboys rant and jump to the other necks are a dime a dozen .We dont need to convert this in another "Sony Doomed !" or "M$ sucks !" forum .This page has serious data (even with the counter at the main page that is quite wrong even uptdating it ) and that we should discuss .For the moment PS3 sales are solid although unespectacular ,the PSP is doing good and wont be dissappearing anytime soon and all that "Sony doomed !" thrash talk is more wishful thinking than anything .If the PSP or PS3 descended under 10 000 units per week and couldnt react even with a price drop in Japan or didnt manage 100K in NA in a month then we could start speaking about the consoles being in danger and Sony threatened and due to make their act toghether .