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The PS3 can get to 50 million before the 360 if the PS3 wins this holiday season.

The 360's outlook in Japan still looks bleak. Despite being significantly cheaper, the 360 is outselling the PS3 by fewer than 5k already. It is very likely that a price drop for the PS3 will be enough to drown the 360 lift. Also, other than The Last Remnant and Star Ocean: The Last Hope, what other titles will boost the 360 for years to come? FFXIII is currently not for the 360 in Japan.

Other non-english speaking countries seem to prefer the PS3. That is not favorable for the 360 at all in the long run.

US is the real struggle. The 360 can not afford to lose.