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Supermario28 on 23 January 2020
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RolStoppable said:
Supermario28 said:

(...)
Switch FY19 goal: 18m shipped

Switch from first week of April 2019 (W14) to last week of 2019 (W52) sold 16'824'318 units

The first 3 weeks of 2020: 628'593

Switch FY19 so far: 17'452'911 sold

If we count 1.5m Switch on shelves as we speak, switch could already be close to 19m shipped with more than 2 months until the end of FY19 and Animal Crossing yet to be released

That's not how the gap between sell-through and shipments works. If we estimate 1.5m Switch consoles on shelves now, then that's a pretty similar amount to how many Switch consoles were on shelves when entering the current fiscal year, therefore there is nothing to add onto the sell-through numbers for the current fiscal year. ~17.5m in sell-through also means ~17.5m in shipments.

 

I'm not sure I understand this logic. But maybe I'm missing something.

Switch that were on shelves on the 1st of april 2019 should have been counted as shipped during the Q4 FY2018 isn't it?

On the other hand, switch that are on shelves right now were shipped during FY2019 so they should count for this FY.