I'm gonna say a result similar to Mario Tennis Aces.

Personally, I'm not fond of the live-service model at all because it implies withheld content we could have gotten if they were willing to put on a finish product. Still, I understand the business decision behind it. I only played Tennis Aces for a while because aside from the content, it's gameplay loop is incredibly fun .

Anywoo, ironically calling it the Splatoon model while the third upcoming game seems to boast so far a large amount of content from launch.

It doesn't have FIFA in the name so it will sell poorly.

I'll go with 3.5 million. I don't think most people buying it will even know or care that much about content being gated.

Over 5 million probably. Nintendo will sell a lot of Software this year.