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Forums - Sales Discussion - Switch Closes 2021 at the Top, PS5 Takes 2nd - Global Hardware Dec 26 to Jan 1

So Switch finishes 2021 just 9.1% down YOY from its calendar year peak. Not bad at all.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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curl-6 said:

So Switch finishes 2021 just 9.1% down YOY from its calendar year peak. Not bad at all.

I’m guessing this year will be down 20-25% so right around 2019 sales.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
curl-6 said:

So Switch finishes 2021 just 9.1% down YOY from its calendar year peak. Not bad at all.

I’m guessing this year will be down 20-25% so right around 2019 sales.

Selling similarly in its 6th year to its 3rd year would be quite impressive.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

I just realized from looking at these numbers that if the Switch wins this gen, it will have won four home console generations (NES, SNES, and Wii being the other three) which would make it the all-time leader by one (Sony would be second with PS1,PS2 and PS4). That's downright remarkable considering the under-performing N64 and dud that was Gamecube and Wii-U. Not many companies can survive after such massive pitfalls.



trunkswd said:

Share the article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch Launch Sales Comparison Through Week 60

T

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch US:

  1. PS5: 6,122,408
  2. Switch: 5,830,069
  3. XSX|S: 5,546,566

Through the first 60 weeks available in the US the PlayStation 5 is ahead of the Nintendo Switch and Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Switch by 0.29 million units and is 0.58 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 0.28 million units.

The PS5 has sold 6.12 million in 60 weeks in the US, while the Switch sold 5.83 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 5.55 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 60 weeks, the Switch currently leads. The PS5 has a 35.0 percent marketshare, the Switch sits at 33.3 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 31.7 percent.

I feel like this is the contest to watch for the immediate future.  X|S clearly narrowed the gap between it and PS5 in the US.  Given the chip shortage, I think it is likely this trend will continue and X|S will surpass the PS5 in the US.



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The_Liquid_Laser said:
trunkswd said:

Share the article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch Launch Sales Comparison Through Week 60

T

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch US:

  1. PS5: 6,122,408
  2. Switch: 5,830,069
  3. XSX|S: 5,546,566

Through the first 60 weeks available in the US the PlayStation 5 is ahead of the Nintendo Switch and Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Switch by 0.29 million units and is 0.58 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 0.28 million units.

The PS5 has sold 6.12 million in 60 weeks in the US, while the Switch sold 5.83 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 5.55 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 60 weeks, the Switch currently leads. The PS5 has a 35.0 percent marketshare, the Switch sits at 33.3 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 31.7 percent.

I feel like this is the contest to watch for the immediate future.  X|S clearly narrowed the gap between it and PS5 in the US.  Given the chip shortage, I think it is likely this trend will continue and X|S will surpass the PS5 in the US.

I think it’s an intentional and wise strategy on the part of Microsoft for the short to medium term. There are literally tens of millions of former Xbox players North America that switched to other platforms over the last 8 years, and a large portion of them could be won back, perhaps permanently. 

if they can regain the market share lead over PS in NA then Xbox will probably have secured a more or less permanent seat at the table in the hardware business. Trying to regain ground in the rest of the world for 10th gen will be a lot easier if they aren’t having to play catch-up on their home turf



aTokenYeti said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I feel like this is the contest to watch for the immediate future.  X|S clearly narrowed the gap between it and PS5 in the US.  Given the chip shortage, I think it is likely this trend will continue and X|S will surpass the PS5 in the US.

I think it’s an intentional and wise strategy on the part of Microsoft for the short to medium term. There are literally tens of millions of former Xbox players North America that switched to other platforms over the last 8 years, and a large portion of them could be won back, perhaps permanently. 

if they can regain the market share lead over PS in NA then Xbox will probably have secured a more or less permanent seat at the table in the hardware business. Trying to regain ground in the rest of the world for 10th gen will be a lot easier if they aren’t having to play catch-up on their home turf

Despite all the issues with the Xbox One, it ended up not that far behind the PS4 in the US. 

  • PS4 - 35.15m
  • X1 - 29.79m


VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

curl-6 said:

So Switch finishes 2021 just 9.1% down YOY from its calendar year peak. Not bad at all.

That cliff is so steep, that at this rate the Switch will only sell (gets out my excel) 182 million+ by the end of 2025...

Year Yearly sale Total
2022 23003162.18 125353162.2
2023 20909874.42 146263036.6
2024 19007075.85 165270112.5
2025 17277431.95 182547544.4
2026 15705185.64 198252730
2027 14276013.75 212528743.8
2028 12976896.5 225505640.3
2029 11795998.92 237301639.2
2030 10722563.01 248024202.2
2031 9746809.78 257771012
2032 8859850.09 266630862.1
2033 8053603.731 274684465.8
2034 7320725.792 282005191.6
2035 6654539.745 288659731.4
2036 6048976.628 294708708
2037 5498519.755 300207227.7
2038 4998154.457 305205382.2
2039 4543322.402 309748704.6
2040 4129880.063 313878584.7
2041 3754060.977 317632645.6
2042 3412441.428 321045087.1
2043 3101909.258 324146996.3
2044 2819635.516 326966631.8
2045 2563048.684 329529680.5
2046 2329811.254 331859491.8
2047 2117798.43 333977290.2
2048 1925078.773 335902369
2049 1749896.604 337652265.6
2050 1590656.013 339242921.6

I feel bad for the fucking customer who got only the 0.95 of a Switch that year, but it looks like in 2026 all the partial Switches sold even themselves out. That's at the current rate, any number of things could happen with the Switch between now and 2050. A new killer app like Pokemon on GB could release late in its lifespan to vastly increase sales, Nintendo might suffer a PR disaster tanking sales, but maybe new markets in Africa will open up after the discovery of some super element or compound buried deep beneath the Kongo, OR it might be Nintendo releases a new form factor for the system bumping sales into whole new markets, or Nintendo might release a successor causing sales to rapidly decrease, or Nintendo might find a whole new market of popular use for motion controls booming the sales. It's hard to say, no one can predict what happens in the future! Any of these things are possible! 

Last edited by Jumpin - on 16 January 2022

I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.

The_Liquid_Laser said:
trunkswd said:

Share the article here.

PS5 vs Xbox Series X|S vs Switch Launch Sales Comparison Through Week 60

T

PS5 Vs. Xbox Series X|S Vs. Switch US:

  1. PS5: 6,122,408
  2. Switch: 5,830,069
  3. XSX|S: 5,546,566

Through the first 60 weeks available in the US the PlayStation 5 is ahead of the Nintendo Switch and Xbox Series X|S. The PS5 is ahead of the Switch by 0.29 million units and is 0.58 million units ahead of the Xbox Series X|S. The Switch is ahead of the Xbox Series X|S by 0.28 million units.

The PS5 has sold 6.12 million in 60 weeks in the US, while the Switch sold 5.83 million units and the Xbox Series X|S 5.55 million units.

Looking at the marketshare through 60 weeks, the Switch currently leads. The PS5 has a 35.0 percent marketshare, the Switch sits at 33.3 percent, and the Xbox Series X|S at 31.7 percent.

I feel like this is the contest to watch for the immediate future.  X|S clearly narrowed the gap between it and PS5 in the US.  Given the chip shortage, I think it is likely this trend will continue and X|S will surpass the PS5 in the US.

The US is always the most interesting territory to me because it's not dominated by one brand like Europe or Japan/SE Asia. It's definitely going to be fun to watch PS5 and XS duke it out there; as trunks points out, even last gen it was the one place where PS4 isn't curbstomp the Xbone.

I still lean towards PS5 win at this point, but it could go either way depending on how impactful Xbox's expanded first party lineup turns out to be.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

JackHandy said:

I just realized from looking at these numbers that if the Switch wins this gen, it will have won four home console generations (NES, SNES, and Wii being the other three) which would make it the all-time leader by one (Sony would be second with PS1,PS2 and PS4). That's downright remarkable considering the under-performing N64 and dud that was Gamecube and Wii-U. Not many companies can survive after such massive pitfalls.

Companies that sell at a profit survive stuff like this. 

Having a dud product now and again isn't a big problem unless the dud is because of quality issues that soil the brand.

This couple with Nintendo always having the second leg of portables selling OK to really well is why they can endure the occasional dud generation.

To expand even further on Nintendo is aside from it's own brand power you have the brand power of Mario (first and foremost) and then Pokemon, Zelda, Animal Crossing etc.