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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - OLED Switch - Week 8 Predictions (Week 7 was 749.6k)

 

OLED Switch - Week 8 Prediction (All Switches Globally)

$ < 1.000M 0 0%
 
1.000M < $ < 1.075M 0 0%
 
1.075M < $ < 1.150M 1 7.14%
 
1.150M < $ < 1.225M 1 7.14%
 
1.225M < $ < 1.300M 2 14.29%
 
1.300M < $ < 1.375M 0 0%
 
1.375M < $ < 1.450M 1 7.14%
 
1.450M < $ < 1.525M 4 28.57%
 
1.525M < $ < 1.600M 2 14.29%
 
1.600M < $ 3 21.43%
 
Total:14

Going with 550-600k. They should start getting some more stock out.



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Kakadu18 said:

Going with 550-600k. They should start getting some more stock out.

I hope so. Have you read any reports of restocking or mostly going on the weaker last few weeks, I'm honestly interested to know.



padib said:
Kakadu18 said:

Going with 550-600k. They should start getting some more stock out.

I hope so. Have you read any reports of restocking or mostly going on the weaker last few weeks, I'm honestly interested to know.

No, going of the last few weeks. Especially last week. November should be stronger than this.



Went risky with 600-650 option



 

Sales in Japan dropped from 90.5k to 87.2k, me sticking with 450-500k might have been the right call.



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I stay with 450 - 500k for week 6. Famitsu numbers look about the same as last week.



Japan was down but globally up by quite a bit. 529k

1 person got it right at least!



siebensus4 said:

I stay with 450 - 500k for week 6. Famitsu numbers look about the same as last week.

Does Famitsu publish interim values between two Thursdays? Can you share where you see current week numbers?



I didn't even vote on week 6, because it's just too hard to know how much Nintendo will stock. However, week 7 will include Pokemon. Surely Nintendo will send out a bigger shipment with that, right?



The_Liquid_Laser said:

I didn't even vote on week 6, because it's just too hard to know how much Nintendo will stock. However, week 7 will include Pokemon. Surely Nintendo will send out a bigger shipment with that, right?

I hope so, but unless they prepared reserve stock in advance it seems like they are reacting to demand so it's hard to predict if their capacity increased. Given the short timeframe of these events I would speculate that they didn't have enough time to predict for week 7 and are still catching up, perhaps ramping up production but that kind of change can take time. We'll see! :)

Here are the vote results for week 6

I'm going to guess that week 7 is going to be severely supply constrained against Friday's launch of pokemons Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl. I'll go with an absolute emptying of stock at 750k. (my start prediction was 900k)