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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - OLED Switch - Closing poll, thank you for participating - Christmas week (Week 12 was 1.083M)

 

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Zippy6 said:

Japan Sales: 167.7k
Japan Sales (2020): 179.1k

Global Sales: ???
Global Sales (2020): 747k

Looks like 700-750k might be the winner.

That would be a safe bet. Not that I've run the numbers yet for the week. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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I go all in and say 800 - 850k for OLED model week 7.

Pokémon should push the hell out of it and there should be some restock with Pokémon bundles.



padib said:

[...]

I'm going to guess that week 7 is going to be severely supply constrained against Friday's launch of pokemons Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl. I'll go with an absolute emptying of stock at 750k. (my start prediction was 900k)

Damn, I hit this one bang on.

Going with 1.2M for next week (My start prediction was 1.7M).



@padib - I think your poll choices for next week are too low. Switch did over 1.6M last year on Black Friday week, so you should at least have choices to that point, IMO.



SW-3707-5131-3911

kenjab said:

@padib - I think your poll choices for next week are too low. Switch did over 1.6M last year on Black Friday week, so you should at least have choices to that point, IMO.

I would agree but the Switch is supply-constrained right now.

I'll try to improve it, give me a sec.

Edit: Fixed, let me know if this is better.

Last edited by padib - on 29 November 2021

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I'm going with 1.5mil. Lower than last year but still high.



Entirely possible the Switch is up year-on-year. It had its best week ever in the UK for Black Friday. Now to see how it did in Japan and Spain as those numbers should out on Thursday and Friday, respectively. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

The_Liquid_Laser said:
padib said:

I hope so, but unless they prepared reserve stock in advance it seems like they are reacting to demand so it's hard to predict if their capacity increased. Given the short timeframe of these events I would speculate that they didn't have enough time to predict for week 7 and are still catching up, perhaps ramping up production but that kind of change can take time. We'll see! :)

Here are the vote results for week 6

I'm going to guess that week 7 is going to be severely supply constrained against Friday's launch of pokemons Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl. I'll go with an absolute emptying of stock at 750k. (my start prediction was 900k)

I'm voting 700-750k, but that's a total shot in the dark.  It seems to me that whatever they ship they are going to sell.  Same goes for the following week which includes Black Friday.

Woohoo, I actually guessed right one one of these crazy unpredictable weeks.

For next week I voted 1.225m - 1.3m.  Switch could sell more, but I just don't think the supply is there, at least not in the US.



Switch was up YoY in the UK next week. But I think the huge amount of stock in the UK was an exception to other countries.

UK got the stock for BF deals to last multiple days without selling out and allow it to have its best week ever, I don't think other countries got enough stock to be up YoY.

I'm going to go with 1.3-1.375m



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Excellent BF for the Switch, they managed to get a lot of stock available for the big one.



Gamerscore:20,000  -  Trophies:3,800 -  Nintendo Awards: -1

My Xbox Series S is my baby. It grew up into an X.