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Forums - Sales Discussion - The Switch shipped 139.36M by 31.12.2023. LT sales expectations?

 

Lifetime sales expectations

Under 150M 2 11.76%
 
150-155M 6 35.29%
 
155-158M 1 5.88%
 
158-165M 7 41.18%
 
165M+ 1 5.88%
 
Total:17

Don’t think there’s any chance of 160M+ at this point, but I think it will get over 150M eventually. Really depends a lot on when they launch the successor and how they handle the OG Switch at that point.



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BonfiresDown said:

Don’t think there’s any chance of 160M+ at this point, but I think it will get over 150M eventually. Really depends a lot on when they launch the successor and how they handle the OG Switch at that point.

You never know .. There may be Switch Advance behind the corner



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown  /  YOY Charts

I vote 150-160m. I think it can sell another 30m in the next 3 years which put it at around 150m lifetime



I'm not sure anymore. It definitely won't beat the PS2, but I can't say for sure what numbers it can reach.

A lot of future Switch sales will depend on when Nintendo plans to release the successor.



Do you guys don’t realize Swtich will be 130 million by end of March , 2023 ?

And 140-145 million after 2023 holidays?

Then 160 million in early 2025



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Time to renew the thread!
Vote now!



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown  /  YOY Charts

Time to renew the thread!
Vote now!



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown  /  YOY Charts

My new prediction is 152M, just slightly short of the PS2 & DS. Mainly because I don't think Nintendo's ever gonna price cut the Switch and that the Switch 2's BC will take away sales from Switch



151 million or so. Switch would need the perfect storm to outsell PS2.
-Switch 2 not launching until at least March 2025 (Q3/Q4 2024 is looking very likely after recent dev kit rumors).
-Price cuts at a strategic time and significant enough price cuts.
-Slower rate of adoption for Switch 2 because of mistakes made by Nintendo (gimmicks, lack of titles people want, etc.)



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 151 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 57 million (was 60 million, then 67 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima

Time to renew the thread!
Vote and post if you expectations have moved.



My sales comparison threads:

Ultimate Showdowns: JP 2023 / JP 2024 / 2024 / 2023 / 20222021

Lifetime Showdown  /  YOY Charts