Price cuts will reduce the decline and give Switch a stronger tail.

Don't see such extreme price cuts happening. None of the hardware manufacturers rely on price cuts nearly as much, it's not the 1990s anymore. 

There might be one off retailer sales (the 2DS had that) for short periods of time, but an official price cut of like $89.99 for a Switch Lite ... don't see it happening. 

You can't just "add a DLSS chip". The chipset would have to be a lot more powerful, so "same processing power" is out the window. 

And they lead to lower profits. Price cuts this deep would mean they'd be selling the hardware at a loss. This fiscal year Switch production and shipping costs are expected to rise according to Furukawa and the OLED has lower profit margins than the other two models. 

Production costs would need to drop a lot in the next two years to make a price cut anywhere close to 50% financially feasible. They make a lot of profit off of hardware sales.

Ight let me do my prediction by year:

End of March 2023: 129 Million
End of March 2024: 145 Million
End of March 2025: 153 Million

Total:~157 Million

So it should technically outsell the PS2 at 157 Million. But it's gonna be a bit weird to determine if the Switch officially outsold the PS2 because of how many different sales figures there are for the PS2. The last reported sales figure by Sony was 155 Million but we know that the PS2 sold a little bit more after that reported figure so there are a bunch of different websites stating that the PS2 sold 157 Million, some state 158 or 159 Million. So that's a grey area that's gonna need to be debated on to determine if the Switch really outsold the PS2. But in general the Switch I'd say will likely hover around 157 Million to potentially be the greatest selling console of all time.

One MILLION units.

Mwahahahahaha!
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Heh

Time to renew the thread!
Vote now!

I’ll stick with what I’ve been thinking for quite some time now, with even firmer belief than before.

It’ll end at around 140M (picked the140-150 option), not beating DS and PS2.

Still hoping for 160+! Could be close depending on what Nintendo's plans are for the next few years. At minimum, I see the Switch reaching 145m.

Before this quarter release I was pretty confident that the Switch would reach 155M+ and outsell the PS2. However, this drop in sales this quarter along with Nintendo's drop in its sales forecast sort of tempered my expectations a bit now when it come to Switch sales. I still think its gonna be really close however and at this point it could go either way on whether or not it could outsell the PS2. Minimum ik it'll see 140M, im leaning towards the low 150Ms rn, really depends on when the Switch successor releases.