Switch's tie ratio is as official as it gets. The reason why home consoles have had notably higher tie ratios than handhelds is because the vast majority of playtime happens at home, so people have the choice which kind of console they want to play. Most gamers prefer the big screen and it's no surprise that a console that is being played more will have more games purchased for it. This is why we can derive from Switch's tie ratio how this hybrid console is being used. Since there are so many games purchased for it, it's safe to conclude that Switch is being used like a home console by much more than 10% of its owners like you assert.
As for your knowledge, your entire track record on this site are your PS4 lifetime predictions that were way off, so you aren't someone who will be given the benefit of the doubt. Likewise, your conversations with customers in store don't count for anything either when your conclusions regarding Switch usage are so strongly contradicted by the console's tie ratio. Anecdotes have nowhere near the same value as official data.
The reason why PS consoles have dropped off faster during the past decade is the very same that has been explained to you plenty of times during your "PS4 will sell more than 140m units" claims. Without staggered launch timings for different regions and countries like in the past, PS sales on the whole became more frontloaded, so there simply wasn't as much to gain on the backend anymore like during the PS1 and PS2 days. It has nothing to do with smartphones.
In any case, for the people arguing against you it is ultimately a simple matter of leaning back and waiting, so there's little value in getting involved in longwinded arguments.
For the tie ratio, okay, then the switch players are just playing more on it outside. It is not needed to be always in home to buy new games for your console.
Also I don't need to be active for 15 years here to have good knowledge on different type of things or sales. And my track record on this site is more than just making PS4 predictions in the past. I've been reading many articles charts comparisons and topics since 2011 here, and also have sometimes commented on things related to XBOX as well. Also recently I began comparison thread for year on year, console vs console. And I will continue doing it and making it better and more interesting for the future, maybe adding new comparisons or consoles, different combinations.
But really I don't know why everyone has to have some track record that you like here for him to have the right to express his opinion or prediction/thoughts about some consoles, or it's sales projection or whatever it is. Everyone can make his own prediction or thoughts and no one is required to give his reasons.
My statement for the % of home and handheld use of switch is totally different thing than my prediction, and it does not have to be connected. I am giving my prediction and that's it. If it happen I will be right and all of you wrong. No and or buts. If it doesn't happen I will come out and say that I've been wrong.
I am not requiring anyone to take my prediction heavily. Do as you like. Everyone has brain and it have to have the ability to think. This is just saying my opinion and giving my prediction like everyone else. Mine is different big deal. Others are different too, just are higher numbers than what I am giving.
The reason PS4 didn't reach what I was going to sell was because of Sony not emerging markets or anything like that. And even then I've told in the past also that if they don't do price cut and stop all the support then PS4 won't reach 140M, even 130M, I was giving 120M as the bare minimum, and it looks like I've been only 2-3M off. The things happened in the way they happened because Sony just didn't care and didn't do anything about, not even giving full stock for the system.
Also almost no one would've give PS4 lifetime sales projection of only 118M like it's what will finish like. So everyone have been wrong about the PS4. Because even the worst predictions here were for around 120-125M. So from your logic no one here have to receive the benefit of the doubt and everyone here things wrong because no one could've predicted the fast death and the big drops of PS4. No one. Not even the haters or the worse prediction were giving PS4 8M in 2020 and 2M for this year. So you can see by that that my prediction was normal and okay based on the situation at the moment. There were many more peoples like me back then that were prediction 130-140M and even decent number of people also giving the possibility of PS4 passing 140M. So here you are not only telling how wrong have I been but also everyone who made predictions about the PS4 as well and making it like because of wrong prediction that no one could've predicted right, those people are not valuable or relevant to have the right of making new predictions and be taken serious or what ?
So my reasons and predictions were fully true and valid if Sony were to give the PS4 full stock at all times like it have to be along with 100$ like it was done for the consoles before last 2 generations. However they didn't.
So no, I have not been wrong before, I clearly said that if they don't do the normal things that every manufacturer should and most of them have done in the past PS4 wouldn't go much after 120M. I was just doubting they will abandon the system like they really did.
For smartphones I am not saying that it is connected directly, but I am just giving an example, because of tech like smartphones and not only smartphones, people in general have learned in the last 10 years to change and to upgrade much faster than they've done before.
I am the one who will lean back and wait for 2022, and to see what most of switch defenders will tell then, and what reason will they make up for the dropping under 20M for the year. The only thing that can stop that from happening is price cut.
Last edited by yo33331 - on 15 July 2021