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Forums - Sales Discussion - Ultimate Console Showdown: 2021 - BLACK FRIDAY / PS5 vs NSW / NSW vs NDS / XBSX vs X360

 

Do you think the PS4/XB1 will win their battles here ?

Yes 1 16.67%
 
No 3 50.00%
 
XB1 yes, but PS4 no 1 16.67%
 
PS4 yes, but XB1 no 1 16.67%
 
Total:6

Аdded PS5 vs NSW'18. Let's see if PS5 can break the 16M mark for the year.



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My final predictions for 2021:

PS5 17.2M
Xbox 11.2M



yo33331 said:

Added PS5 vs NSW'18. Let's see if PS5 can break the 16M mark for the year.

Is it possible to add PS5 vs PS4'15 or PS4'16 as the numbers are really close too. 



icykai said:

Is it possible to add PS5 vs PS4'15 or PS4'16 as the numbers are really close too. 

If PS5 continues to decently outsell the NSW'18 further, I will add it. But with that limited stock every week I doubt it.. especially entering into the holiday period.

Last edited by yo33331 - on 04 September 2021

The industry as a whole is growing but man is PS5 performing so well with the shortages and high price tag in mind. I have to wonder if COVID is inflating demand (for all consoles), hopefully it isn't too bad.

If Sony is able to sort out supply issues and ramp up production, I expect the Switch to lose every individual year until 2020. Despite the slower start, I predict Switch to end up winning this race by 10 million at 150 million, assuming Sony doesn't release a portable SKU.



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yo33331 said:
icykai said:

Is it possible to add PS5 vs PS4'15 or PS4'16 as the numbers are really close too. 

If PS5 continues to decently outsell the NSW'18 further, I will add it. But with that limited stock every week I doubt it.. especially entering into the holiday period.

Thank you for your efforts.

Sony confirmed that they have enough parts to supply more than 22.6m PS5 total by the end of this Fiscal Year(link). That means almost 12.5m more units putting the total of PS5s supplied at 22.6m and 14.8m for this FY. They usually supply 21-22% of total FY supply in Q2 and 46-48% of total FY supply in Q3. That means 3.2-3.3m in Q2 and 6.9-7.2m in Q4, so atleast 10.1m till the end of the year for a total of 20.2m PS5s supplied. There is around 300-500k difference between sell-in and sold so i would say 19.5-20m by the end of this year. Remove the 4.4m from last year and you got 16.1-16.6m. 

I don't think this is how it's going to go down but it seems that it's going to be closer to the NSW'18 than the PS4'15/16. Hopefully we'll see a rise in numbers though. 

Last edited by icykai - on 04 September 2021

Updated numbers with WEEK 34



Updated numbers with WEEK 35!



Awesome thread. Been stalking here and there.



Updated numbers with WEEK 36!