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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - The Beautiful, Yet So BOLD Prediction! The Nintendo Switch... 200Mil!

 

What do you expect for NSW lifetime?

110mil-120mil 9 10.71%
 
Roughly 130mil-145mil 22 26.19%
 
145mil-160mil (ps2/DS range) 25 29.76%
 
161mil-189mil best selling Console ever 22 26.19%
 
190mil-200mil+ (BOLD) 6 7.14%
 
Total:84
CheddarPlease said:

Here are my prediction ranges:

200 Million is potentially achievable, given that even only 28 Million this year with stable drops would be enough to get the Switch to 175 Million LTD.  

I am currently in the 165-175 Million Camp, but with a slight caveat, which is if the Switch does >31 Million this year as the trends currently suggest, then 200 Million becomes exponentially more likely.

You went all in, I like it. I respect the “potentially achievable”. When I make bold claims I tend to make it have somewhat of a chance even if it’s most likely wrong. Thank god I haven’t embarrassed myself to much and half of the bold predictions come true (sometimes even close if I’m wrong)



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DitchPlaya said:

The Switch selling well is great and all but are we forgetting the Wii? For four years straight it trounced the competition but what did it have to show for itself? If you think I am simply talking about the failure of the Wii U or the fact that it's sales fell of a cliff in the fifth year then you'd be wrong. Off course there is still the chance that it may happen, nobody ever saw it so with the Wii because it was supposed to change gaming.

Instead I am talking about the fact that a Nintendo platform selling is only good for Nintendo. Third-party sales are still nowhere to be seen. Yes there are some token titles thrown at the system, usually beyond compromise, and yes the fanbase will eat them up. But ultimate third-party has little presence on the system and that means that the told number of units sold will remain meaningless. If we go by that logic, we can not only add up Sony + MS sales, but also the base console sales too! The base PS4 is still leaps and bounds more powerful than the Switch and the ports that the Sony system will get at least are competitive (I mean that both literally too, check out Apex Legends if you don't believe me).

Wii did change gaming, there is a reason it is still in high demand. If Nintendo would have released an HD version of the Wii it likely would have been the best selling hardware of all time.

And "... a Nintendo platform selling is only good for Nintendo." is about the dumbest comment I've ever seen. They push the boundaries for a reason and it moves the gaming industry forward. 3rd party games are highly successful on the Switch. I don't understand your point of adding Sony + Microsoft sales and the base console sales as well... are you saying that Sony and Microsoft should add their console sales together because they rely on companies like EA to carry them so they're basically the same console? It's Nintendo vs SonySoft now just to try and keep Nintendo from claiming a title?



Nintendo with the Switch:

DitchPlaya said:

The Switch selling well is great and all but are we forgetting the Wii? For four years straight it trounced the competition but what did it have to show for itself? If you think I am simply talking about the failure of the Wii U or the fact that it's sales fell of a cliff in the fifth year then you'd be wrong. Off course there is still the chance that it may happen, nobody ever saw it so with the Wii because it was supposed to change gaming.

Instead I am talking about the fact that a Nintendo platform selling is only good for Nintendo. Third-party sales are still nowhere to be seen. Yes there are some token titles thrown at the system, usually beyond compromise, and yes the fanbase will eat them up. But ultimate third-party has little presence on the system and that means that the told number of units sold will remain meaningless. If we go by that logic, we can not only add up Sony + MS sales, but also the base console sales too! The base PS4 is still leaps and bounds more powerful than the Switch and the ports that the Sony system will get at least are competitive (I mean that both literally too, check out Apex Legends if you don't believe me).

Tell that to Capcom, Square, Koei, Marvelous, NIS or any 3rd party studio who put their games on Switch, they keep making/porting games to Switch. And why did you combine MS + Sony vs Nintendo? Or you're afraid that either of them wouldn't be strong enough to face Switch alone? Besides, Sony and MS can never be the same side, MS + Nin vs Sony sound more convincing.