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Forums - Sales Discussion - PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition: Week 27 - First Week of July!

WEEK 20 UPDATE

(Projection of Switch Sales in 2021 based on cumulative sales through week 19 from prior years)

Switch 2021

As of week 19: 8.651 million

(% Sales from 2017) Total sales for year: 34.47 million (Last week: 34.09 million)

(% Sales from 2018) Total sales for year: 38.51 million (Last week: 38.37 million)

(% Sales from 2019) Total sales for year: 37.88 million (Last week: 37.55 million)

(% Sales from 2020) Total sales for year: 29.32 million (Last week: 29.32 million)



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Switch 2021 looks like it'll hit 10 million a week before Switch 2020! Amazing how well Switch 2021 has done at keeping up with Switch 2020 thus far.

These next few weeks might be a bit iffy though. I'm sure it will still be over 300,00 and maybe even over 350,000, but I don't know if it can keep hitting 400,000 for the next few weeks. Should be fine by the time E3 rolls around (assuming we get an awesome Direct), along with games like Mario Golf & SS HD in July (certainly more than what Switch had in 2020 during the same timeframe).



Week 21 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Japan and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Europe; Down overall.

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This final week of May saw some big adjustments to the 3 current consoles, and the PS5 and Switch unfortunately were adjusted down. Now the Switch maintains a slim margin over last year, less than 200k, and the PS5's lead is down to just under 500k. Of the three, it is the Xbox Series that had the biggest lead in its comparison with just over 700k.



Week 23 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in all regions.

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We're in the 2nd week of June, and the Switch has officially crossed 10 million worldwide for the year! Exactly 1 week before it did it last year as it continues to maintain its slim lead over last year. Hopefully with the announcements made at E3 and a more streamlined schedule coming up will help boost 2021 towards being the peak year. Between Mario Golf, Skyward Sword HD, Monster Hunter Stories 2, WarioWare, Metroid Dread, Mario Party Superstars, SMT V, and Pokemon BD/SP as the most notable releases, in conjunction with what has already been released this year with Bowser's Fury, Monster Hunter Rise, Bravely Default 2, and New Pokemon Snap, I truly believe that 2021's lineup is stronger than 2020's. Assuming Nintendo can meet sales demand, 2021 should have a good shot at being the peak year.

The PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series continue to pick up steam as they are both tracking very comfortably ahead of their predecessors.

Overall, the hardware market is looking extremely healthy as we near the mid-way point of 2021.



Week 24 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States; Up overall.

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Week 24 is in the books!

The PS5 is knocking on the door to 5 million for the year and will do it on Week 25. For comparison's sake, the PS4 didn't past 5 million in its first year until Week 27. The PS5 extends its lead over the PS4 to a little over 454k. Meanwhile, the PS4's deficit to the PS3 continues to drop as it is now over the 3 quarter mark at a little over 757k.

The Xbox Series saw a noticeable bump in in sales. To the point where this week is its biggest week of the year at just under 140k. And it's enough to to where it stretches its lead over the Xbox One's first year to a little over 897k, just shy of 900k. This was also the same week in 2014 where the Xbox One finally ditched the Kinect 2.0 and dropped its price down to $399. Something that ultimately was too little too late to reverse the Xbox One's fortunes and hopes of catching up with the PS4 and making the generation competitive. Speaking of the Xbox One, it continues its free fall as it dips below 13k this week and its deficit to the 360 is now over 651k.

And in the main event, the Nintendo Switch builds another slim win over last year, slightly boosting its lead to just over 127k. Despite a deficit of over 300k in Europe, it's tracking ahead in the other 3 regions enough to the point where it is ahead overall. Next week should have a small bump due to the release of Mario Golf: Super Rush, but very small. Especially since the latest Famitsu report had Switch sales down from the prior week in spite of Mario Golf's release. 



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My favorite thread on this website!



Interestingly enough PS4 is almost equal to XBOX 360 in 2014, they are going neck in neck until now for this year, But in the end I think 360 will come on top barely.



Definitely think the Switch will lose its lead in 2021 against 2020 briefly right before Switch OLED releases. Even without the new model, I figured it would lose its lead in September and then possibly regain it in October due to a stronger Sept 2020 and stronger Oct 2021. Still up in the air if 2021 wins, but the holidays definitely have to be better this year than last year in order for Nintendo to meet their forecast.

Shouldn't be too hard for October-December to be better considering we have a new Switch model, Metroid Dread, Mario Party, BDSP and Advance Wars VS Pikmin and Age of Calamity.



Week 25 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Europe and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Japan; Down overall.



Week 26 Breakdown:

PlayStation 4: Up in the United States; Down in Europe, Japan, and the Rest of the World; Down overall.

PlayStation 5: Up in all regions.

Xbox One: Down in all regions.

Xbox Series: Up in all regions.

Nintendo Switch: Up in Europe and the Rest of the World; Down in the United States and Japan; Down overall.

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We are officially at the halfway point of this year's Hardware Battle!

(Da-da-da-daa, Daa, Daa, Da, da-daaaaaa!)

As such, let's review what the story looks like for all 5 systems in this comparison:

PlayStation 4: The only region where it's really putting up a fight is the US region. It is on a 16 week winning streak in that region and continues to slowly chip away at its deficit and I'd say there's a good-likely chance that the PS4 might come out on top over the PS3 in the United States. Everywhere else, including worldwide? ...Not so much.

PlayStation 5: At the halfway point, the PS5 has a healthy lead over the PS4 worldwide (539k). That is largely do to building very sizable leads in Europe (307k) and the Rest of the World (158k). It has a rather slim lead in the United States (85k) given the size of that region. And it is actually down very slightly in Japan (-11k) although it is currently on a 13 week winning streak and is on the verge of taking the lead over the PS4. So it's only a matter of time before the PS5 is completely ahead and it's hard to foresee a scenario where the PS5 doesn't come out on top.

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Xbox One: Unlike the PS4, where it has one region going for it. The Xbox One has absolutely nothing going for it in its battle with its predecessor, the 360. It has not gotten a single win win in any region or worldwide and this is the 5th week in a row where the baseline has declined. This is about as one-sided as it gets. At this point, it's just about seeing how far it will drop.

Xbox Series: At the halfway point, the Xbox Series has officially crossed the magic mark of being 1 million units ahead of its predecessor. It's on a 15 week winning streak worldwide. It has won all but 2 weeks in the US region; All but 1 week in Europe; And thanks to the latest surge in Japan, it is quickly approaching the point where it will beat the Xbox One in Japan before it even launches over there. And it has not lost a single week in the Rest of the World region. This is shaping like a big win for Microsoft and that they are well on their way from putting the disappointment of the Xbox One behind them.

Nintendo Switch: By far the most anticipated match-up of this thread. It is the one that is putting up the biggest numbers, and yet it is the absolutely closest comparison. Following further downward adjustments for 2021, just 58k separates this year and last year on the worldwide comparison. And that is due to the fact that despite 2021 being ahead in the US, Japan, and the Rest of the World; It is FAR behind in Europe.

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