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Forums - Sales Discussion - How much do you expect Cyberpunk to sell?

 

First week prediction?

Less than 3 million 6 6.59%
 
3-6 million 12 13.19%
 
6-9 million 17 18.68%
 
9-12 million 13 14.29%
 
More than 12 million 43 47.25%
 
Total:91
Elputoxd said:

This game will keep selling units throughout the entire PS5/Xbox Series generation, just like GTA V and Minecraft kept selling units this entire generation. It'll use all these factors to its advantage and to keep itself trendy and talked about:

- Patches in the weeks after launch.

- Patches that add content.

- The two single-player expansions in 2021.

- The next-gen update in 2021.

- The online multiplayer in 2022.

- CDPR will put it on Game Pass for a few months or a year and then take it out to have a word of mouth effect on Xbox. Worked with RDR2, which, after being on Game Pass, saw a increase in its sales.

- Periodical updates to the multiplayer throughout the gen GTA Online style.

- Free play weekends.

- They will do partnerships with other brands in the multiplayer, Fortnite style. You know, adding Ferrari cars, or guns from Starfield or Halo or The Outer Worlds 2 when those games come out or whatever. Special online events, too.

- They will make the multiplayer F2P by 2026 or 2027.

- In 2027 or 2028, the game will receive a next-gen SKU for the PS6 and the Series X2/S2.

Not only will it sell 30 million units (it's gotta be at +15 already if it was at 13 after 10 days), it will sell around 50 million units lifetime because it will receive a next-gen SKU when PS6 and Series X2/S2 come out and it'll have strong legs.

I'm also expecting The Witcher 3 to hit 50 million units by 2023.

Don't you think that CDPR will make fools out of themselves and give people one more reason to hate them after they were shouting from rooftops about being consumer friendly and that "people should not pay for the same game twice". Remember, they were the first company to support Microsoft in this initiative.



 

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derpysquirtle64 said:

Don't you think that CDPR will make fools out of themselves and give people one more reason to hate them after they were shouting from rooftops about being consumer friendly and that "people should not pay for the same game twice". Remember, they were the first company to support Microsoft in this initiative.

It might be a free upgrade, stimulating sales of DLC and maybe bring in new players.

Still, that list is a depressing outlook. Milking this not all that great game instead of a reboot and make something better. And while those patches and DLC will keep it in the news, it will forever be linked to the horrible launch. NMS turned into a great game but did it ever recover sales wise. It's doing ok afaik.
https://steamcharts.com/app/275850
It never got anywhere close to release numbers again with the big updates. Evolution studios still got closed down despite turning DriveClub around and never got to finish the VR update. CDPR won't get in trouble since they have GoG to fall back on but Cyberpunk will be a tough sell from now on as well as their next game. Of course there will still be plenty "must have new shiny now" buyers to keep the hype machine going, yet GTA levels are out of reach. 50 million life time, doubt it can even get anywhere near that with fire sales. Maybe if you count game pass downloads when it gets on there.



SvennoJ said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

Don't you think that CDPR will make fools out of themselves and give people one more reason to hate them after they were shouting from rooftops about being consumer friendly and that "people should not pay for the same game twice". Remember, they were the first company to support Microsoft in this initiative.

It might be a free upgrade, stimulating sales of DLC and maybe bring in new players.

Still, that list is a depressing outlook. Milking this not all that great game instead of a reboot and make something better. And while those patches and DLC will keep it in the news, it will forever be linked to the horrible launch. NMS turned into a great game but did it ever recover sales wise. It's doing ok afaik.
https://steamcharts.com/app/275850
It never got anywhere close to release numbers again with the big updates. Evolution studios still got closed down despite turning DriveClub around and never got to finish the VR update. CDPR won't get in trouble since they have GoG to fall back on but Cyberpunk will be a tough sell from now on as well as their next game. Of course there will still be plenty "must have new shiny now" buyers to keep the hype machine going, yet GTA levels are out of reach. 50 million life time, doubt it can even get anywhere near that with fire sales. Maybe if you count game pass downloads when it gets on there.

I agree, I hope that CDPR will not milk Cyberpunk in the same way as Rockstar does with GTA V (which is exactly what that post was suggesting). Even if it's kinda bad for CDPR right now, but there is positive thing about Cyberpunk ending up in controversy at launch. It probably won't allow the game to have such massive legs to turn it to something similar to GTA V right now.



 

derpysquirtle64 said:
Elputoxd said:

This game will keep selling units throughout the entire PS5/Xbox Series generation, just like GTA V and Minecraft kept selling units this entire generation. It'll use all these factors to its advantage and to keep itself trendy and talked about:

- Patches in the weeks after launch.

- Patches that add content.

- The two single-player expansions in 2021.

- The next-gen update in 2021.

- The online multiplayer in 2022.

- CDPR will put it on Game Pass for a few months or a year and then take it out to have a word of mouth effect on Xbox. Worked with RDR2, which, after being on Game Pass, saw a increase in its sales.

- Periodical updates to the multiplayer throughout the gen GTA Online style.

- Free play weekends.

- They will do partnerships with other brands in the multiplayer, Fortnite style. You know, adding Ferrari cars, or guns from Starfield or Halo or The Outer Worlds 2 when those games come out or whatever. Special online events, too.

- They will make the multiplayer F2P by 2026 or 2027.

- In 2027 or 2028, the game will receive a next-gen SKU for the PS6 and the Series X2/S2.

Not only will it sell 30 million units (it's gotta be at +15 already if it was at 13 after 10 days), it will sell around 50 million units lifetime because it will receive a next-gen SKU when PS6 and Series X2/S2 come out and it'll have strong legs.

I'm also expecting The Witcher 3 to hit 50 million units by 2023.

Don't you think that CDPR will make fools out of themselves and give people one more reason to hate them after they were shouting from rooftops about being consumer friendly and that "people should not pay for the same game twice". Remember, they were the first company to support Microsoft in this initiative.

I think they will do just like they are doing with The Witcher 3 and sell a new next-gen physical SKU and a ton of people will play it, especially younger people who might have been 12-13 when TW3 came out and will now be 18-19. Same with Cyberpunk. They will offer a free upgrade for current owners and still release a new SKU. Don't see any problem with that.

I don't know how this bullshit text editor is supposed to work on phones.