Forums - Sales Discussion - Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 11.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 11.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 17.5 million 69 6.88%
 
17.5 - 20.0 million 126 12.56%
 
20.1 - 22.5 million 146 14.56%
 
22.6 - 25.0 million 163 16.25%
 
25.1 - 27.5 million 144 14.36%
 
27.6 - 30.0 million 106 10.57%
 
30.1 - 32.5 million 97 9.67%
 
32.6 - 35.0 million 40 3.99%
 
35.1 - 40.0 million 35 3.49%
 
More than 40 million 77 7.68%
 
Total:1,003

I'll just toss out a number and say 32 million lifetime (maybe more if Nintendo ever bundles the game with the Switch at some point). It does not make me upset that a supposedly buggy game is selling massively well, it seems overall the game is well received by most despite whatever flaws it may have, the sales and reviews seem to support that.



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I'll go boldly where no @tbone51  has ever been before and say 40M+

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 11 May 2020

tbone51 said:
Slownenberg said:

haha bold as always. So lemme get this straight. After selling 1.64mil in April you think its gonna sell another 5.89mil this quarter, averaging 2.94mil in May and June. wow! Totaling 2.94 for May and June would be great and I could see it getting close to that but doing that much each month is, well, beyond even a tbone-like prediction! You may as well say it's gonna sell 50 million lifetime.

11.77mil was shipped+digital, so let’s say 11.30mil was sell thru since most places were sold out, 13.41mil is missing some sales as people discussed. Said to be 10-15% missing so let’s go with a conservative 10% (Canada/South America/Asia outside of Japan missing in this figure) that would total up to about 14.75mil sell thru. That’s actually more like an estimate of 3mil selling with 1mil on store shelves or more roughly 16mil. May+June could have an extra 3mil for ship and digital.

18mil sound more like the safe bet but I’ll go with 19.5mil

What sales are missing? I didn't see anything about that? Why would the official Nintendo numbers have sales missing? You got a link or something where Nintendo says their official numbers don't include some regions?



Slownenberg said:

What sales are missing? I didn't see anything about that? Why would the official Nintendo numbers have sales missing? You got a link or something where Nintendo says their official numbers don't include some regions?

The image is in the original post of this thread...

The reason why Nintendo's sell-through numbers aren't all-inclusive is because not all countries have the same reliable sales tracking firms, plus Nintendo itself doesn't have an offical subsidiary everywhere, so their internal tracking isn't applicable worldwide.



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Bofferbrauer2 said:

I'll go boldly where no @tbone51  has ever been before and say 40M+

51mil..... I’m kidding... unless NSW life cycle is long as hell and AC sells over 40mil :P



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I went with the 25-27 option, but its hard to say right now. Its very well possible that it could sell more than that. Seems like a reasonable prediction though.



     

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I'm guessing the OP's bonus question is regarding the bugs you CATCH in the game, rather than any game breaking/annoying bugs.



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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Hard to do a projection off of 6 weeks of data.  Also, a year ago I didn't think AC had a chance of outselling Pokemon, so I really don't have a good sense of how popular AC really is other than my daughter and several of her friends have the game.  I went ahead and voted 40m+, because AC ususally has really good legs and this is on a system where it's now common for titles to smash sales expectations.

As for bugs, I didn't even know this was an issue.  The only issue I was aware of was the whole 1 island per system thing.