Forums - Sales Discussion - VGChartz Gap Charts March 2020 Discussion Thread

The_Liquid_Laser said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

It will probably depend also on how the sales in Europe and RoW will develop. In Japan Switch has already won and in the US, it's looking quite good already.

And unlike with the Wii, I don't expect a sales crunch with the Switch and more of a slow decline like the PS4 does.

Switch is going to outsell PS4.  Then it is going to outsell DS and PS2.  Why?  Because almost every Generation 8 gamer out there is going to buy a Switch.  It was going to happen anyway, but now the conditions are better than before.

First there is 3DS and Vita.  These guys want the next handheld, so all of them are going to buy a Switch (and really a lot of them already have).  Wii U gamers are die hard Nintendo fans.  They already bought a Switch.  XBox1?  They've had a huge drought of games for a while now.  Outside of the games that release every year the big new games for this year are Cyberpunk 2077 and Halo Infinite, and those come out near the end of the year.  Their backlog for the past few years isn't terribly impressive either.  XB1 gamers have mostly run out of games, and there is nothing to do right now but sit at home and play games.  XB1 gamers are going to want a Switch. 

That just leaves PS4.  PS4 actually has a very solid line-up this year, and they have a backlog of exclusives that is a lot better than the XB1.  PS4 owners will be fine this year.  But after this year the focus is going to be on PS5.  The reality of this pandemic is that it also comes with a huge recession/depression.  Not a lot of PS5s are going to get sold for a while.  Meanwhile Switch is already cheaper and Nintendo can drop the price pretty easily.  That means, eventually, most PS4 owners will get a Switch.  It might not be this year or next year, but eventually they will get a Switch while waiting for the PS5 price to drop to an affordable level.

In the end almost every gamer is going to get a Switch.  Switch's biggest competition is neither Sony nor Microsoft.  It is Netflix, Hulu and Disney+.  Basically all a lot of people can do right now is sit at home and watch streaming or play games.  And the only current system is the Switch.  Once the pandemic ends, the economy will need time to recover so people will still buy a Switch.  Demand for Switch is going to stay high for several years.  It's going to become the best selling system of all time.

I expect the Switch to outsell the PS4 too, but I think it will fall short of the PS2 and DS on the long run. My guess is somewhere between 130M-140M



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Switch will go on to sell 1.5B units.



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StarCraft and Fallout 4 currently.

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Amazon thread

Just want to link this here, as it's more relevant in this thread I think:

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9138724



Bofferbrauer2 said:
Just want to link this here, as it's more relevant in this thread I think:

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9138724

Trunks is working on the adjustments

PS4 and XBO are also too low.



German YouTuber and Streamer:
StarCraft and Fallout 4 currently.

Me trying to write reviews:
Octopath Traveler

Amazon thread

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Just want to link this here, as it's more relevant in this thread I think:

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9138724

I'll be doing adjustments after I post the report on the US NPD figures for March in a sales article. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Read the article here. Be sure to share it.

PS4 vs Wii in the US – VGChartz Gap Charts – March 2020

PlayStation 4 Vs. Wii US:

Gap change in latest month: 230,062 – PS4

Gap change over last 12 months: 2,052,028 – PS4

Total Lead: 8,165,861 – Wii

PlayStation 4 Total Sales: 32,783,315

Wii Total Sales: 40,949,176

March 2020 is the 77th month that the PlayStation 4 has been available for in the US. During the latest month the gap grew in favor of the PlayStation 4 when compared with the Wii during the same timeframe. The PlayStation 4 has caught up to the Wii by 230,062 units and in the last 12 months outsold the Wii by 2.05 million units. The Wii currently leads by 8.17 million units.

Both consoles launched in November. The Wii launched in November 2006, while the PlayStation 4 launched in November 2013. The PlayStation 4 has sold 32.78 million units, while the Wii sold 40.95 million units during the same timeframe.

The Wii sold units 41.70 million lifetime in the US, therefore the PlayStation 4 needs to sell another 8.92 million units to outsell the Wii.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

Read the article here. Be sure to share it.

Switch vs PS4 in the US – VGChartz Gap Charts – March 2020

Switch Vs. PS4 US:

Gap change in latest month: 92,078 – PS4

Gap change over last 12 months: 1,959,026 – Switch

Total Lead: 2,563,466 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 18,642,821

PS4 Total Sales: 16,079,355

In March 2020 the gap in the US between the Nintendo Switch and PlayStation 4 grew in favor of the PS4 when you align launches. The PS4 sold 92,078 more units than the Switch in the last month. However, in the last 12 months the Switch has grown its lead by 1.96 million units. The Switch currently leads by 2.56 million units.

The PlayStation 4 launched in the US on November 15, 2013, while the Nintendo Switch launched on March 3, 2017. The Switch has sold 18.64 million units, while the PlayStation 4 sold 16.08 million units during the same timeframe.

The 37th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is March 2020, while for the PlayStation 4 it is November 2016.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:

Read the article here. Be sure to share it.

Switch vs PS4 in the US – VGChartz Gap Charts – March 2020

Switch Vs. PS4 US:

Gap change in latest month: 92,078 – PS4

Gap change over last 12 months: 1,959,026 – Switch

Total Lead: 2,563,466 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 18,642,821

PS4 Total Sales: 16,079,355

In March 2020 the gap in the US between the Nintendo Switch and PlayStation 4 grew in favor of the PS4 when you align launches. The PS4 sold 92,078 more units than the Switch in the last month. However, in the last 12 months the Switch has grown its lead by 1.96 million units. The Switch currently leads by 2.56 million units.

The PlayStation 4 launched in the US on November 15, 2013, while the Nintendo Switch launched on March 3, 2017. The Switch has sold 18.64 million units, while the PlayStation 4 sold 16.08 million units during the same timeframe.

The 37th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is March 2020, while for the PlayStation 4 it is November 2016.

Only 92k units difference when comparing November vs March is a pretty impressive feat for Switch.



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trunkswd said:

Read the article here. Be sure to share it.

Switch vs PS4 in the US – VGChartz Gap Charts – March 2020

Switch Vs. PS4 US:

Gap change in latest month: 92,078 – PS4

Gap change over last 12 months: 1,959,026 – Switch

Total Lead: 2,563,466 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 18,642,821

PS4 Total Sales: 16,079,355

In March 2020 the gap in the US between the Nintendo Switch and PlayStation 4 grew in favor of the PS4 when you align launches. The PS4 sold 92,078 more units than the Switch in the last month. However, in the last 12 months the Switch has grown its lead by 1.96 million units. The Switch currently leads by 2.56 million units.

The PlayStation 4 launched in the US on November 15, 2013, while the Nintendo Switch launched on March 3, 2017. The Switch has sold 18.64 million units, while the PlayStation 4 sold 16.08 million units during the same timeframe.

The 37th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is March 2020, while for the PlayStation 4 it is November 2016.

Truck beat me to it, but its insane that Switch almost managed to keep up with PS4's third holiday season during March.

Looking like Switch might really manage to keep a permanent lead from here on out in the US.



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series X will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

curl-6 said:
trunkswd said:

Read the article here. Be sure to share it.

Switch vs PS4 in the US – VGChartz Gap Charts – March 2020

Switch Vs. PS4 US:

Gap change in latest month: 92,078 – PS4

Gap change over last 12 months: 1,959,026 – Switch

Total Lead: 2,563,466 - Switch

Switch Total Sales: 18,642,821

PS4 Total Sales: 16,079,355

In March 2020 the gap in the US between the Nintendo Switch and PlayStation 4 grew in favor of the PS4 when you align launches. The PS4 sold 92,078 more units than the Switch in the last month. However, in the last 12 months the Switch has grown its lead by 1.96 million units. The Switch currently leads by 2.56 million units.

The PlayStation 4 launched in the US on November 15, 2013, while the Nintendo Switch launched on March 3, 2017. The Switch has sold 18.64 million units, while the PlayStation 4 sold 16.08 million units during the same timeframe.

The 37th month on sale for the Nintendo Switch is March 2020, while for the PlayStation 4 it is November 2016.

Truck beat me to it, but its insane that Switch almost managed to keep up with PS4's third holiday season during March.

Looking like Switch might really manage to keep a permanent lead from here on out in the US.

Nintendo really needs to get the Switch back in stock. Still hard to find. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YoutubeFollow me on Twitter @TrunksWD.

Writer of the Gap Charts | Weekly Hardware Breakdown Top 10 | Weekly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.