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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-Order Chart

Agente42 said:
xMetroid said:

400-500k debut would be amazing for Kirby. Would validate the switch to 3D. I'm sure the game will score pretty well, i'm expecting around 85, might lose points cause it is apparently pretty easy. If a kirby game debuts with around 1-1.5 million WW first week that would be pretty neat.

Kinda wondering if Nintendo will go back to 2D games then. Kirby really felt like it was stuck in 2D and they don't seem too be pushing 2D Mario more. Even if DK TF is one of the best platformers, i feel like it is also underperforming and a third game could be disappointing in sales.

not pushing 2d more is a big wrong move. 

A port sells almost 12 millions, a port of new series( and these series have big lazy efforts) 

DK port sells more than 2 millions on Switch and surpass Wiiu sales too.

A new AAA 2D DK and a new AAA 2D Mario will have good sales ( 8-12M for DK and 20-25M for Mario) 

No way a 2D DK sells around 10 millions. 5 would be great. 2D Mario i still see them doing one this year or the next one. 



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xMetroid said:
Agente42 said:

not pushing 2d more is a big wrong move. 

A port sells almost 12 millions, a port of new series( and these series have big lazy efforts) 

DK port sells more than 2 millions on Switch and surpass Wiiu sales too.

A new AAA 2D DK and a new AAA 2D Mario will have good sales ( 8-12M for DK and 20-25M for Mario) 

No way a 2D DK sells around 10 millions. 5 would be great. 2D Mario i still see them doing one this year or the next one. 

You underestimate DK and NSW user base imo. DK on Wii did 6mil for example



Days: KSA —— SMO —— KFL

3we: 49p —— 94p —— 77p
20D: 53p —— 98p —— 115p
19D: 55p —— 101p — 150p
18D: 57p —— 106p — 161p
17D: 59p —— 111p — 166p
16D: 63p —— 111p — 171p
15D: 67p —— 112p — 183p
2we: 69p —— 114p — 195p
13D: 76p —— 123p
12D: 85p —— 132p
11D: 90p —— 141p
10D: 90p —— 143p
09D: 92p —— 147p
08D: 99p —— 157p
1We: 103p — 164p
06D: 109p — 179p
05D: 116p — 188p
04D 118p — 191p
03D: 121p — 193p
02D: 123p — 199p
Last: 126p — 207p

FW: 328p — 434p



In an effort to add something to the discussion I looked up the famitsu first week sales data for Switch and PS4 games.
Momotaro earned 113 points and sold 345,000 at retail first week [#15 best first week for Switch and PS4].
Next spot above it is Super Mario Odyssey which sold 511,000 first week.
Above that is Kingdom Hearts 3 on 640,000.

Maybe if this momentum continues we could see Kirby finish more than 30 points ahead of Super Mario Odyssey for COMG reservations and clear 500,000 on the Famitsu charts.

Edit: Kingdom Hearts 3 earned 455 points back in January 2019.

Last edited by ireadtabloids - on 11 March 2022

Points - FW Sales - Title ——— Ratio

1147p -> 1396k: Pokémon BDSP (+22%)
929p —> 1425k: Pokémon LA (+53%)
240p —> 250k: SM3DW+BF (+4%)
126p —> 159k: Skyward Sword HD (+26%)
123p —> 163k: Mario Party Super stars (+33%)
110p —> 148k: New Pokémon Snap (+35%)
91p ——> 80k: Mario Golf Super Rush (-12%)
75p ——> 87k: Metroid Dread (+16%)
66p ——> 73k: Miitopia (+10%)
55p ——> 72k: Wario Ware Get it Together (+31%)
32p ——> 71k: Game Builder Garage (122%+)



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tbone51 said:
xMetroid said:

No way a 2D DK sells around 10 millions. 5 would be great. 2D Mario i still see them doing one this year or the next one. 

You underestimate DK and NSW user base imo. DK on Wii did 6mil for example

2D platformers were bigger than. DK on Switch didn't do much. It was a port, yes, but many other ports did way better.



xMetroid said:
tbone51 said:

You underestimate DK and NSW user base imo. DK on Wii did 6mil for example

2D platformers were bigger than. DK on Switch didn't do much. It was a port, yes, but many other ports did way better.


DKTF did 2mil and the NSW port did 3mil+.

A new game would beat 5mil easily. Floor 6mil-7mil with 10mil-12mil as a possibility imo



Loving seeing Kirby be so successful. Will be very happy if it gets another 30 points and noticeably beats Super Mario Odyssey’s first week at retail.



If Kirby can debut higher than 500k first week in Japan that would be amazing. It is keeping a strong streak a preorders and be looking like it will be a big hit.
Does comg have the Kirby edition Switch oled box ? Cause maybe there is more preorders for that reason ?



Looks like the new demo for Strangers of Paradise did some good and another solid haul for Kirby.