Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4/XBO/NS - 2019 vs 2020; Week 31; Adjustments, Breakdowns, and Estimations

Great. One of the best VGC threads 2020 Edition. Unfortunately the only interesting thing about this year would be how much higher can Switch sales jump? Or will they at all? I personally bet on Switch selling more this year than the last. 23m maybe. As for next-gen Sony and MS consoles, I don't think it would make sense to include them in this thread until 2022. When they will have a full year on the market to compare with.



 

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Nu-13 said:
Mbolibombo said:

No, I dont think 22M is too low. That would be the highest shipment in a year since the Wii/DS days. 

Obviously I'm not saying too low for the industry, but as in too low compared to what the numbers are likely to be.

See there's always a chance it might happen. But what makes you think it's likely that it'll go to 23M and upwards? That's an insane amount of consoles.

Animal Crossing is currently the only thing that clealy is going to push consoles. We could speculate in other things like price cut, BotW2 and the possible new SKU and so on that will clearly push hardware but since neither is currently still speculation.



PS4 will drop around 30% to 10m
Switch will increase by around 7% to 21.5m
XBO will drop around 48% to 2.5m



We could combine he sales based on company so Ms and Sony aren't hurt by having multiple gens. Switch compared to PS4/5 and Xbox one/series X seems fair.



Subscribed. This is always an interesting thread to follow and read through.

Your hard work is appreciated.



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PS4 should have some weeks in 2020 below 150K, XBO below 30K and Switch should stay above 200K, especially with new hardware (Switch Pro) and constant first party software supply.



derpysquirtle64 said:
Great. One of the best VGC threads 2020 Edition. Unfortunately the only interesting thing about this year would be how much higher can Switch sales jump? Or will they at all? I personally bet on Switch selling more this year than the last. 23m maybe. As for next-gen Sony and MS consoles, I don't think it would make sense to include them in this thread until 2022. When they will have a full year on the market to compare with.

Yeah, Switch winning by far is a given for this year. The questions are more like by how much and how far down the other two will drop down to.

Comparing the Switch 2020 to the best years of PS4 and/or Wii might get very interesting, though.



Momentum is good, and we have a full switch lite year.
But until now we only have 1 system seller (AC).
for now, with no announcement, my range is [17 - 23]M.
Need annoucements to narrow my guess.



Adjustments up.



Just made adjustments, Switch was adjusted up. PS4 was adjusted down. Xbox One was adjusted very slightly down; 82 units. Basically flat.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
(https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/241660/ps4xbons-2019-vs-2020/1/)