80m+ for sure. We're already at 15m and tracking ahead of all previous Xbox consoles in spite of poor stock stock from a chipset shortage and on a year devoid of Xbox exclusives. Imagine the kind of numbers we will be seeing as the stock situation improves throughout 2023 into 2024, once S and X start to see price cuts and bundled games, and once Xbox starts releasing like 8 overall exclusives and 4 AAA exclusives per year later in the gen, some of them quite big like Starfield, Doom 3, and Elder Scrolls 6. Plus CoD will eventually be day one gamepass, and Diablo 4 and Overwatch 2 should both be day one gamepass.
Considering it's already tracking above 360 I see no scenario where it loses to 360.
Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 30 May 2022
- 360 sales remain relatively small until Kinect releases (it's biggest year before Kinect's release was 10.9m in 2008 (equivalent to 2023 for Xbox Series) and Xbox Series is already on pace to beat that number in 2023 in addition to the lead they already have.
- By the launch aligned point for Xbox Series (2025) that Kinect releases for 360 and 360 managed to sell 13m 2 years in a row, Series S/X stock will be way better than it is now, S and X will have seen some price cuts, and Xbox's 1st party will be into a good release cadence with like 8 total exclusives and 4 AAA exclusives per year.
- Xbox Series has moved into new markets that 360 never released in, like China. Xbox One sold more than 1m in China, Xbox Series should be able to beat that easily thanks to Diablo 4 and Overwatch marketing and day once Gamepass, as China is obsessed with Blizzard games. Same goes for South Korea, they love Blizzard, having those games on Gamepass will be huge for Xbox sales in Korea.