Forums - Sales Discussion - Famitsu Sales: W37, 2019 (Sep 09 - Sep 15)

Even if it drops below 90k during October, i really don't see it dropping below 70k tho, like the Switch was above 50k already and they aren't cannibalizing eachother. There is still DQ to be released and will boost for beginning of October, LM3 at the end, and the November sales will go up approaching holidays and Pokemon.

Don't think Switch will go below 300k WW until february



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PAOerfulone said:
So, I did a bit of digging and calculating for when the DS Lite and 3DS XL launched in Japan and how they affected DS and 3DS sales respectively before and after their launch.

DS Lite - Launched March 2, 2006:
Before: 43,765
After: 124,286 - 184% increase

3DS XL - Launched July 28, 2012
Before: 43,291
After: 239,273 - 453% increase

This is how the Switch Lite would affect sales next week if it has one of those two percentage increases:
Before: 51,619
After (184%) 146,590
After (453%) 285,303

We should expect the Switch Lite affect to be somewhere in the middle, although I think we'll get something closer to the DS Lite effect than the 3DS XL one. Next week's numbers are going to be big ones; Very important ones for the Switch and Nintendo.

Edit: Nevermind, it was closer to the 3DS XL effect after all.

Last edited by PAOerfulone - on 25 September 2019

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Bofferbrauer2 said:
abroZ said:
I'm guessing combined switch sales of both units won't drop below 90k for the rest of the year.

90k is too high for weekly sales. It will drop below that in October, but above 50k, maybe even 60k, should be achievable.

Hmm...it's really hard to tell.

This will be interesting to watch. 

I still stand by my 90k baseline though. 



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xMetroid said:
Even if it drops below 90k during October, i really don't see it dropping below 70k tho, like the Switch was above 50k already and they aren't cannibalizing eachother. There is still DQ to be released and will boost for beginning of October, LM3 at the end, and the November sales will go up approaching holidays and Pokemon.

Don't think Switch will go below 300k WW until february

Switch got pushed above 50k by the recent release of the new base model, otherwise it would have been more around 40k, maybe slightly below that since we only got 46k on Obon Week.

Yes, DQ XI S should boost early October sales, and Luigi should do so at the very end... but there's nothing in between those two except Story of Seasons. Maybe Ring Fit Adventure and the Yokay Watch remake can push some sales, too, but that's about it in between both releases. So sales will dip there, how much we'll see. I do agree that my 50k is the absolute baseline and I was expecting more like 60k, hence why I said 50k or 60k in that post. But 90k was simply too high for a baseline when no big game comes out.

As fot your last sentence, it will probably drop a bit below 300k in January and February, but I expect both months to stay above 250k. March, with Animal Crossing release, could be able to have a median 300k, though.