17 million is strange because it took them till quarter 3 to make it meaning they expected better results for holidays. I don't see them catching PS4. I still peg lifetime at 65 million. Sold.
They probably were hoping that Smash Bros, and its first holiday with any kind of Switch deals, would make up for the lack of sales Labo brought early in the FY. I agree that they won't catch PS4, as that will hit ~120M or more, but I disagree with the 65M. I mean, it's not impossible it stops there, but unlikely. It should at least sell as much as the 3DS did, which will be 75M-76M when all is said and done. At this point, I think it will end up slightly above the 3DS, so 80M-90M.
I'm going to be gracious and predict 15.5 million for FY2020. I am predicting around 15 for the PS4. However, the PS5 announcement will crush PS4 sales unless its accompanied by a decent price drop.
With a core Pokemon game launching this year, plus an inevitable price cut (probably only $50), it should be up YOY. So, at the very least, 18M should be achievable.