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Forums - Movies Discussion - How High Will Avengers:IW Soar? (Currently @ ~$2.04B+)

riecsou said:
If only not so many good movies were not coming out one after another (Dead Pool, Incredibles 2, Jurassic Park and then Ant Man) it would have easily pass both Titanic and TFA. But now it might not even pass TFA.

Those didn't help.  BP was definitely helped because it was really the only relevant release in its first 5-6 weeks.  It even got a small boost thanks to IW, only dropping 4% the weekend IW released compared to its previous weekend.  Passing TFA is still in the air.  It all depends on how well IW does at the FBO in the coming weeks, as well as what kind of late push it gets from budget theaters/double features in the US.  Personally, I think it has a pretty good chance at hitting #3 for WW. 

For the past 3 weeks it has outpaced Jurassic World for the same point in time by 16.9% at the DBO.  If that continued, and IW ends on Week 20, it will have made another $17.6M.  Even if it remained flat, it would make another ~$15M.  Of course, JW got a good push on Week 12, being put on an extra 665 screens.  Considering both Avengers films have gotten similar pushes (Avengers got a massive 1,582 screen push, while AOU got a smaller 146 screen push, both on Week 18), I doubt IW will be any different.  Worst case scenario, IW ends its DBO with ~$680M.  Best case, it ends at ~$690M.

So, that leaves just $16.5-$26.5M for the FBO.  If its the best case scenario, $16.5M is going to be easy to make up.  However, $26.5M is definitely going to be tough.  We won't get FBO til tomorrow, which is when I'll update the thread, so we can't really tell how well its done there this week.



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Actuals are in and IW made $1.54M, bringing its DBO total to $672.63B. $680M is a safe bet at this point, which would still have it end its WW total with $2.06B if the FBO percentage holds. However, if it gets a good late run boost, it could hit $685M-$690M. If it hits that, and the FBO holds, it'll become the #3 film WW, passing TFA.



It's been a few weeks since I have updated, so I figured I'd give a 3rd to last update. The 2nd to last will happen if there is a late push given by Disney in its last weeks. And the last will happen when the film is pretty much done.

IW made $406K this past weekend. This brings its DBO to ~$677.56M. Its FBO take sits at ~$1.367B. This brings the WW take to ~$2.045B.

Where IW ends up depends heavily on how much Disney pushes it late in its life. For instance, Avengers got an extra 1,582 sceens on Week 18, while AOU got an extra 146 for the same week. I'd imagine IW will receive something in between. I think it will at least end its run with a DBO take of $680M at the DBO. If that's the case, and the FBO percentage holds, it will end with a WW take of ~$2.054B. If Disney pushes it harder it ends at $685M, and the FBO percentage holds, then it will hit 2.069B WW. This will make it #3 for all-time WW takes.



thismeintiel said:

It's been a few weeks since I have updated, so I figured I'd give a 3rd to last update. The 2nd to last will happen if there is a late push given by Disney in its last weeks. And the last will happen when the film is pretty much done.

IW made $406K this past weekend. This brings its DBO to ~$677.56M. Its FBO take sits at ~$1.367B. This brings the WW take to ~$2.045B.

Where IW ends up depends heavily on how much Disney pushes it late in its life. For instance, Avengers got an extra 1,582 sceens on Week 18, while AOU got an extra 146 for the same week. I'd imagine IW will receive something in between. I think it will at least end its run with a DBO take of $680M at the DBO. If that's the case, and the FBO percentage holds, it will end with a WW take of ~$2.054B. If Disney pushes it harder it ends at $685M, and the FBO percentage holds, then it will hit 2.069B WW. This will make it #3 for all-time WW takes.

It might not be a bad idea for them to run it during March/April next year in preparation for Avengers 4.  I could see a lot of people coming out to see it again if they do that.



The_Liquid_Laser said:
thismeintiel said:

It's been a few weeks since I have updated, so I figured I'd give a 3rd to last update. The 2nd to last will happen if there is a late push given by Disney in its last weeks. And the last will happen when the film is pretty much done.

IW made $406K this past weekend. This brings its DBO to ~$677.56M. Its FBO take sits at ~$1.367B. This brings the WW take to ~$2.045B.

Where IW ends up depends heavily on how much Disney pushes it late in its life. For instance, Avengers got an extra 1,582 sceens on Week 18, while AOU got an extra 146 for the same week. I'd imagine IW will receive something in between. I think it will at least end its run with a DBO take of $680M at the DBO. If that's the case, and the FBO percentage holds, it will end with a WW take of ~$2.054B. If Disney pushes it harder it ends at $685M, and the FBO percentage holds, then it will hit 2.069B WW. This will make it #3 for all-time WW takes.

It might not be a bad idea for them to run it during March/April next year in preparation for Avengers 4.  I could see a lot of people coming out to see it again if they do that.

True. I could also see them putting it some theaters as a double feature. Though, if it's going to pass TFA to become #3 WW, I'd rather it do it in its initial run.