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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - 80+ Million Switches Need to be Sold in 5 Years or it's a Failure

Kakadu18 said:
curl-6 said:

I made a record of some of his greatest hits for my own amusement back in the old days. A few I noted down:

- Switch won't win any NPD in 2018
- Smash Ultimate will sell 8-10 million lifetime (Currently at 28.17m)
- Pokémon Let's Go will sell 6-8 million lifetime (Currently at 14.53m)

And of course, the Granddaddy of them all:
- Switch will fall of a cliff in 2018

Can you link me one of those threads? Would be an interesting read.

Regrettably I don't have them bookmarked. 

Here is his post history if you feel like doing some digging, there is certainly gold to be found haha

quickrick's Profile (vgchartz.com)



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

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Quickrick and all his friends and people who supported/wanted the Switch to die are all banned or are there few Switch haters in Vgchartz still?



Cute and honest Sega Saturn fan, also noone should buy Sega grrrr, Sega for life.

This was one of a number of threads tbh these are a few.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/217447/the-nintendo-nx-will-be-dead-on-arrival/1/
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=233409&page=1
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=225564&page=1
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/227260/the-switch-launch-numbers-are-meaningless/1/

But the were a significant number of them and even spin offs of them like the infamous HZD vs BOTW thread boy did that backfire, Rol had a thread which he highlight why NS was going to be a success called open your eyes where he got a lot of heat from people who are now very quiet.



DroidKnight said:

With the Nintendo Switch being both a, handheld and home console (hybrid); it will need to have an increase in hardware sales when factoring in the last 5-6 years of the 3DS and Wii U sales combined.  A Switch Mini will probably take over the handheld console slot, but what's different is the same cartridge will be utilized on both devices (no need to purchase software twice).  Less software being sold means more hardware sold is needed to offset potential losses from the previous generation.  80 million is being conservative, when factoring in 2 console's hardware sales. 

If we are going to judge Nintendo's success on there being more interest, customers, and profit than time's past, then optics is very important.  Noone is going to want to purchace a device that game developers and consumers are unsure of.  Sure Nintendo is going to get the console launch sales boost along with the oh wow I've got to have it because it's new and it's hard to get.  Hype will also lead to sells but that's not what is needed to sustain the Switches lifespan.

Utimately it will be Nintendo's 1st party games that will bring in the largest chunk of the previous fanbase and Nintendo's ability to bring in 3rd party AAA titles. Game droughts will only hurt (obvious).  Proper marketing and consumer targeting will create a winning environment.

Anything less than 80 million in hardware sales in 5 years will show a diminishing interest in the "Nintendo Brand" and unfortunately create another hurdle that will need to be cleared.  They are off to an excellent start, 4 years and 10 months to go.  

 

 

(Full discloser:  I will buy the Switch for Xenoblade 2 alone, even if it's the only game I will purchase.)

There's a lot in this that ended up turning out wrong 😂

So the switch not only sold over 80 million, but even subtracting the first month's 2.74 million, the switch managed over 100 million.

Then there's the subject of the switch mini taking over the handheld side of things. Indeed a switch mini was released ala switch lite but it hasn't done nearly enough to negate the handheld side of things. At 18 million sold? It's only 1/5 of the Switch's sales.

And then there's the subject of lower software sales. This thing is literally on course to become the first Nintendo console to sell over 1 billion pieces of software and the Nintendo business is making more profit and money than ever before, even with their old dual console release strategy.

In my opinion this is why it's best never to even try and guess what will ever happen with Nintendo because you're always gonna be surprised.



Wyrdness said:

This was one of a number of threads tbh these are a few.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/217447/the-nintendo-nx-will-be-dead-on-arrival/1/
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=233409&page=1
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=225564&page=1
https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/227260/the-switch-launch-numbers-are-meaningless/1/

But the were a significant number of them and even spin offs of them like the infamous HZD vs BOTW thread boy did that backfire, Rol had a thread which he highlight why NS was going to be a success called open your eyes where he got a lot of heat from people who are now very quiet.

Quickrick joined VGchartz same year I joined 2017 and he decided to go on a Nintendo Switch hate raid XD, He really hates Nintendo while I was just watching everybody smoke the biggest Nintendo hater in Vgchartz history. And most of those guys are banned  :)



Cute and honest Sega Saturn fan, also noone should buy Sega grrrr, Sega for life.

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Thanks for the goldmines guys. Was alot of fun to read.



I had a dream today where Kerotan and quickrick where unbanned mostly quickrick as a punching bag



Cute and honest Sega Saturn fan, also noone should buy Sega grrrr, Sega for life.

I missed this thread back in the day. Soooo many disbelievers...



Here's another classic; a Neogaf thread from January 2017 asking people their opinion on whether Switch would be a success.

https://www.neogaf.com/threads/betting-time-do-you-think-the-switch-will-be-a-success.1333545/



Bet with Liquidlaser: I say PS5 and Xbox Series will sell more than 56 million combined by the end of 2023.

It's funny how many people said that the "Switch Mini" is what is going to get the Switch to reach 80 million units sold.

The Switch Lite have only sold 18.40 million while the OG Switch + OLED have sold 89.25 million.

curl-6 said:

Here's another classic; a Neogaf thread from January 2017 asking people their opinion on whether Switch would be a success.

https://www.neogaf.com/threads/betting-time-do-you-think-the-switch-will-be-a-success.1333545/

This thread is also pretty great:

https://www.neogaf.com/threads/kimishima-thinks-the-switch-has-the-potential-to-reach-wii-like-sales.1340069/