Jooooohn dont do this again!!
You are back.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
FFS, can we tone it down a bit?
Yes, we're all happy it's doing well, but this is far fetched to the point of preposterous.
Do we really need a new thread every damn day prematurely declaring unreachable goals for this game?
curl-6 said: FFS, can we tone it down a bit? Do we really need a new thread every damn day prematurely declaring unreachable goals for this game? |
I hope your not referring to my thread(s). This is the only optimistic Splatoon thread i seen (that was impossible).
My 1mil thread is optimistic, but definitely reachable
potato_hamster said:
|
You sure like to put words in people's mouths, don't you?
When I talk about Wii U, I talk about Wii U.
You have never heard me talk about combining both Wii U & 3DS.
And doggone right, I STILL maintain that Wii U dominates this generation.
I wouldn't get too attached to PS4's run right now. They're very vulnerable & the effects will show this year.
They were already showing cracks last year as exampled in XBox One's total turnaround last Holiday season.
Believe what you wish. But you'll be calling my baloney 'filet mignon' when the 8th generation ends.
But that's another discussion for an as-of now locked topic.
On THIS topic, I await Nintendo's report.
Splatoon did amazing in America too & when you do amazing in America, the 3rd most populous nation on Planet Earth, amazing goes a long way.
If Splatoon only sells 900 thousand worldwide instead of a full 1 million, you can have your laugh at me but you won't feel that good about it.
I'll just be "Aw shucks. Only missed it by a few thousand. Dagnabbit." Hahahahahaha!
No matter what t-bone got his prediction either way.
If I was him I would have shot for 2 million in June but I like to live dangerously.
1 million in June was always an easy bet. Splatoon smelled like a phenomenon the moment it hit that E3 2014 Digital Event.
John Lucas
Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot
WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!
johnlucas said:
FACTS vs. FICTION – Volume 1 That Wii U 240 million is still on schedule. My short-term milestones missed but I know the endgame so it's small potatoes. This generation has just gotten started. John Lucas |
I don't see it happening bro. Nintendo has already released most of their heavy hitters. The only card they really have left is Zelda U, and I don't see that pushing hundreds of millions of units.
johnlucas said:
When I talk about Wii U, I talk about Wii U. I wouldn't get too attached to PS4's run right now. They're very vulnerable & the effects will show this year. Believe what you wish. But you'll be calling my baloney 'filet mignon' when the 8th generation ends. But that's another discussion for an as-of now locked topic. On THIS topic, I await Nintendo's report. If Splatoon only sells 900 thousand worldwide instead of a full 1 million, you can have your laugh at me but you won't feel that good about it. No matter what t-bone got his prediction either way. John Lucas |
Define "Wii U". Are you solely and exlusively talking about the home console with a controller that has a screen in the middle of it, that is, what the average console video game player would know to be a "Wii U" at this time? Is that exclusively what you're referring to when you say the "Wiii U" will sell 240 million lifetime?
So, best case scenario, you expect the Wii U to sell 230 million units in the next 2-3 years (because you do know another Nintendo home console is coming soon right? Nintendo tends to release a new home console every 5-6 years, and the Wii U is half way through year 3) That would be 76-115M per year, out of absolutely nowhere. Right now Wii U sales are at 9.7 million and has been on sale for approximately 30 months. That is an average of about 325K per month. What on this planet is going to lead to an explosion of an additional 6 million to 9.2 million sales per month? Even if the Wii U was going to be the flagship home console for the next 6 years (giving the console a life cycle as the primary home console of about 9 years), it would have to sell an average of 3 million consoles per month, or about 10 times the sales of what it is doing right now.
I'm pretty sure Nintendo could annouce that it will send you free access to the entire Wii U library for free from now until the end of time and they wouldn't sell at the rate you'd require to meet the sales you're suggesting for it to meet your targets.
Splatoon will not sell 900K worldwide for the month of may, much less 1 million. How low would splatoon sales have to be for you to consider your prediction wrong?
johnlucas said:
When I talk about Wii U, I talk about Wii U. I wouldn't get too attached to PS4's run right now. They're very vulnerable & the effects will show this year. Believe what you wish. But you'll be calling my baloney 'filet mignon' when the 8th generation ends. But that's another discussion for an as-of now locked topic. On THIS topic, I await Nintendo's report. If Splatoon only sells 900 thousand worldwide instead of a full 1 million, you can have your laugh at me but you won't feel that good about it. No matter what t-bone got his prediction either way. John Lucas |
less than 10M in 2.5 years but you expect it to rise to 240M (aditional 230M) in the next 2.5-4.5years top... something like 1000-2300% increase in its sales??? Don't seem that possible.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
Alright kids, the NOD numbers are in. Hard copy sales of Splatoon in North America = 136K. That is less than Japan. Not bad for twice as many Wii U's as Japan has to pick up copies. Let's be generous and round up to 150K for hard and digital copies for Splatoon.
That means worldwide first week so far we have: ~330K Among Japan, UK, and the US, representing about 70% of the Wii U's market so far. So now Canada, the rest of Europe, and the rest of the world have to buy approximately 670K copies of Splatoon to meet your prediction, John Lucas. Obviously that isn't happening.
In fact, as it stands now Splatoon will probably not even sell 500K world-wide for the month of May. You can expect sales from the rest of the markets to bring it up to around 450K. So it looks like not only were you off, other users that were predicting half the sales you more than likely also being a bit optimistic.
Also it appears Wii U sales are down ~100k world-wide comparing May 2014 with May 2015. Ouch. So much for Splatoon being the summer system seller like Mario Kart 8!