Update!

According to this site, Wii Fit Plus is at 7.6 million. It's got fantastic legs in Japan according to Media Create (it's still over 50k per week), and likely in North America as well (it did great last month, and likely will this month too).

According to this site, Wii Sports Resort has already surmounted the 10 million mark (11.84 million). I believe it's overtracked, or else Nintendo would have trumpeted this achievement, but I doubt it's that far off. It, too, has great legs in Japan (per M-C) and in North America (NPD).

According to this site, New Super Mario Brothers Wii is just short of the goal at 9.27 million. Again I suspect overtracking, but lord knows that game's on fire!

Vgchartz was undertracking NSMB according to the info Nintendo gave out recently.

Edit: It's nice to see all three will make it with ease. Nintendo is BACK!

No, the game was actually undertracked like the above poster said. It was undertracked by 405k I believe in the americas. I have no idea how much it jumped with Other's numbers, probably a little under what america's was.

NSMBW is amazing, both in sales and the game itself. :D

I would'nt say Wii Sports Resort is overtracked(if it is it's only by a bit and in the U.S) becuase we can see its sales on MC, also if I'm not mistaking Nintendo reported that it had sold 5 million in it's first 5 months in Europe, which is around what we have it at.

If the current VGChartz numbers are reasonably accurate then yes. They will do 10 million each (even before the end of march).

However I do have a nagging sensation that those numbers are too good to be true. Hopefully I'm just paranoid.

I stand corrected on the overtracking claims, then!

the question is.... will wii fot plus make it?

The answer is... yes.

It's only got 2.4 million left to sell and 3 months to sell it in, and then there's the fact that Nintendo sell more to retailers than reach consumers in the same time frame, ie. they'll ship 10 million before 10 million have been sold to consumers, but the former is 'sold' from Nintendo's perspective.

So, judging by the released shipment data, this prediction has come to pass after only Q3, let alone the end of the year. Wow.

A resounding YES. As per Nintendo's end of Q3 report from today, New Super Mario Bros. Wii shipments totalled 10.55m units worldwide until end December, Wii Fit Plus stands at 10.16m units shipped worldwide, and Wii Sports Resort shipments are at 13.58m worldwide.